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Providing a metric of uncertainty alongside a state estimate is often crucial when tracking a dynamical system. Classic state estimators, such as the Kalman filter (KF), provide a time-dependent uncertainty measure from knowledge of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-10 Itzik Klein , Guy Revach , Nir Shlezinger , Jonas E. Mehr , Ruud J. G. van Sloun , Yonina. C. Eldar

Learning in a non-stationary environment is an inevitable problem when applying machine learning algorithm to real world environment. Learning new tasks without forgetting the previous knowledge is a challenge issue in machine learning. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Honglin Li , Frieder Ganz , Shirin Enshaeifar , Payam Barnaghi

We consider the problem of online prediction for an unknown, non-explosive linear stochastic system. With a known system model, the optimal predictor is the celebrated Kalman filter. In the case of unknown systems, existing approaches based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

This work extends a previous study that introduced an algorithm for state estimation on manifolds within the framework of the Kalman filter. Its objective is to address the limitations of the earlier approach. The reversible Kalman filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Svyatoslav Covanov , Cedric Pradalier

System identification poses a significant bottleneck to characterizing and controlling complex systems. This challenge is greatest when both the system states and parameters are not directly accessible leading to a dual-estimation problem.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-08 Matthew F. Singh , Chong Wang , Michael W. Cole , ShiNung Ching

The natural gradient field is a vector field that lives on a model equipped with a distinguished Riemannian metric, e.g. the Fisher-Rao metric, and represents the direction of steepest ascent of an objective function on the model with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Jesse van Oostrum , Johannes Müller , Nihat Ay

Kalman filter is a best linear unbiased state estimator. It is also comprehensible from the point view of the Bayesian estimation. However, this note gives a detailed derivation of Kalman filter from the mutual information perspective for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Yarong Luo , Jianlang Hu , Chi Guo

We consider Kalman filtering problems when the observations are intermittently erased or lost. It was known that the estimates are mean-square unstable when the erasure probability is larger than a certain critical value, and stable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-29 Se Yong Park , Anant Sahai

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

This paper is on learning the Kalman gain by policy optimization method. Firstly, we reformulate the finite-horizon Kalman filter as a policy optimization problem of the dual system. Secondly, we obtain the global linear convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-30 Haoran Li , Yuan-Hua Ni

In this paper, we present the optimization formulation of the Kalman filtering and smoothing problems, and use this perspective to develop a variety of extensions and applications. We first formulate classic Kalman smoothing as a least…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Low dimensional representations of words allow accurate NLP models to be trained on limited annotated data. While most representations ignore words' local context, a natural way to induce context-dependent representations is to perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 David Belanger , Sham Kakade

The Derivative-free nonlinear Kalman Filter is proposed for state estimation and fault diagnosis in distributed parameter systems and particularly in dynamical systems described by partial differential equations of the nonlinear wave type.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Gerasimos G. Rigatos

Online continual learning (OCL) methods adapt to changing environments without forgetting past knowledge. Similarly, online time series forecasting (OTSF) is a real-world problem where data evolve in time and success depends on both rapid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Edoardo Urettini , Daniele Atzeni , Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Antonio Carta

Adversarially robust training has been shown to reduce the susceptibility of learned models to targeted input data perturbations. However, it has also been observed that such adversarially robust models suffer a degradation in accuracy when…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Thomas T. C. K. Zhang , Bruce D. Lee , Hamed Hassani , Nikolai Matni

Both constrained and unconstrained optimization problems regularly appear in recursive tracking problems engineers currently address -- however, constraints are rarely exploited for these applications. We define the Kalman Filter and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-09-19 Nachi Gupta , Raphael Hauser

Kalman filter is a key tool for time-series forecasting and analysis. We show that the dependence of a prediction of Kalman filter on the past is decaying exponentially, whenever the process noise is non-degenerate. Therefore, Kalman filter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Mark Kozdoba , Jakub Marecek , Tigran Tchrakian , Shie Mannor

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

The state-of-the-art tensor network Kalman filter lifts the curse of dimensionality for high-dimensional recursive estimation problems. However, the required rounding operation can cause filter divergence due to the loss of positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Clara Menzen , Manon Kok , Kim Batselier

The recently proposed option-critic architecture Bacon et al. provide a stochastic policy gradient approach to hierarchical reinforcement learning. Specifically, they provide a way to estimate the gradient of the expected discounted return…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Saket Tiwari , Philip S. Thomas