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Conformal prediction can yield statistically valid prediction intervals for any regression model, with no model modifications and small computational costs. To assess its practical value, we apply conformal methods to quantify uncertainty…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Miriam Simm , Corinna Hoose , Tom Beucler

Building upon recent developments of force-based estimators with a reduced variance for the computation of densities, radial distribution functions or local transport properties from molecular simulations, we show that the variance can be…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-05-18 Samuel W. Coles , Etienne Mangaud , Daan Frenkel , Benjamin Rotenberg

Advanced algorithms are necessary to obtain faster-than-real-time dynamic simulations in a number of different physical problems that are characterized by widely disparate time scales. Recent advanced dynamic Monte Carlo algorithms that…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-11-23 M. A. Novotny

The thermodynamic entropy of coarse-grained (CG) models stands as one of the most important properties for quantifying the missing information during the CG process and for establishing transferable (or extendible) CG interactions. However,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-04-10 Jaehyeok Jin , David R. Reichman

Recent years have seen unprecedented advance in the design and control of quantum computers. Nonetheless, their applicability is still restricted and access remains expensive. Therefore, a substantial amount of quantum algorithms research…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-11 Thomas Grurl , Richard Kueng , Jürgen Fuß , Robert Wille

Improving the predictive accuracy of a dynamics model is crucial to obtaining good control performance and safety from Model Predictive Controllers (MPC). One approach involves learning unmodelled (residual) dynamics, in addition to nominal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Leroy D'Souza , Yash Vardhan Pant , Sebastian Fischmeister

We assess the value of machine learning as an accelerator for the parameterisation schemes of operational weather forecasting systems, specifically the parameterisation of non-orographic gravity wave drag. Emulators of this scheme can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-11 Matthew Chantry , Sam Hatfield , Peter Duben , Inna Polichtchouk , Tim Palmer

Periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time series data and has long played a central role in forecasting. Recent deep learning methods strengthen the exploitation of periodicity by treating patches as basic tokens, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Yongxin Tong

The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

We use molecular dynamics simulations to study the evaporation of particle-laden droplets on a heated surface. The droplets are composed of a Lennard-Jones fluid containing rigid particles which are spherical sections of an atomic lattice,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-04 Weikang Chen , Joel Koplik , Ilona Kretzschmar

Models that can simulate how environments change in response to actions can be used by agents to plan and act efficiently. We improve on previous environment simulators from high-dimensional pixel observations by introducing recurrent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-20 Silvia Chiappa , Sébastien Racaniere , Daan Wierstra , Shakir Mohamed

This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Pore-scale simulations accurately describe transport properties of fluids in the subsurface. These simulations enhance our understanding of applications such as assessing hydrogen storage efficiency and forecasting CO$_2$ sequestration…

Ongoing investigations to introduce software techniques suitable to support new experimental requirements for multi-scale simulation are discussed.

Dynamical systems theory provides powerful methods to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. Here we derive and theoretically support a macroscopic, spatially discrete, model for a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-03-12 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

-Molecular simulations allow the study of properties and interactions of molecular systems. This article presents an improved version of the Adaptive Resolution Scheme that links two systems having atomistic (also called fine-grained) and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Iuliana Marin , Virgil Tudose , Anton Hadar , Nicolae Goga , Andrei Doncescu

To analyze high-dimensional systems, many fields in science and engineering rely on high-level descriptions, sometimes called "macrostates," "coarse-grainings," or "effective theories". Examples of such descriptions include the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 David H. Wolpert , Joshua A. Grochow , Eric Libby , Simon DeDeo

Molecular dynamics simulations provide a versatile framework to study interfacial heat transport, but their accuracy remains limited by the accuracy of available interatomic potentials. In the past, researchers have adopted the use of…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-05-11 Spencer Wyant , Andrew Rohskopf , Asegun Henry

Coarse-grained, mesoscale simulations are invaluable for studying soft condensed matter because of their ability to model systems in which a background solvent plays a significant role but is not the primary interest. Such methods generally…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-03-19 Timofey Kozhukhov , Tyler N. Shendruk

We introduce a theoretical approach for designing generalizations of the approximate message passing (AMP) algorithm for compressed sensing which are valid for large observation matrices that are drawn from an invariant random matrix…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper , Ole Winther , Bernard H. Fleury
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