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In prior work we have introduced an asymptotic threshold of sufficient randomness for causal inference from observational data. In this paper we extend that prior work in three main ways. First, we show how to empirically estimate a lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-07 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Placede Tshiaba

The problem of quickest change detection is studied in the context of detecting an arbitrary unknown mean-shift in multiple independent Gaussian data streams. The James-Stein estimator is used in constructing detection schemes that exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Topi Halme , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Visa Koivunen

Simultaneous inference allows for the exploration of data while deciding on criteria for proclaiming discoveries. It was recently proved that all admissible post-hoc inference methods for true discoveries must employ closed testing. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Jinjin Tian , Xu Chen , Eugene Katsevich , Jelle Goeman , Aaditya Ramdas

Some large scale inference problems are considered based on using the relative belief ratio as a measure of statistical evidence. This approach is applied to the multiple testing problem. A particular application of this is concerned with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Michael Evans , Jabed Tomal

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

Bias research in NLP seeks to analyse models for social biases, thus helping NLP practitioners uncover, measure, and mitigate social harms. We analyse the body of work that uses prompts and templates to assess bias in language models. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Seraphina Goldfarb-Tarrant , Eddie Ungless , Esma Balkir , Su Lin Blodgett

A variety of fairness constraints have been proposed in the literature to mitigate group-level statistical bias. Their impacts have been largely evaluated for different groups of populations corresponding to a set of sensitive attributes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Jialu Wang , Xin Eric Wang , Yang Liu

We study a statistical procedure based on higher criticism (HC) to address the sparse multi-stream quickest change-point detection problem. Namely, we aim to detect a potential change in the distribution of multiple data streams at some…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Tingnan Gong , Alon Kipnis , Yao Xie

The study of model bias and variance with respect to decision boundaries is critically important in supervised classification. There is generally a tradeoff between the two, as fine-tuning of the decision boundary of a classification model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Matthew Almeida , Wei Ding , Scott Crouter , Ping Chen

Biased human decisions have consequential impacts across various domains, yielding unfair treatment of individuals and resulting in suboptimal outcomes for organizations and society. In recognition of this fact, organizations regularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Wanxue Dong , Maria De-Arteaga , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

Modern statisticians are often presented with hundreds or thousands of hypothesis testing problems to evaluate at the same time, generated from new scientific technologies such as microarrays, medical and satellite imaging devices, or flow…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Bradley Efron

We study the general problem of testing whether an unknown distribution belongs to a specified family of distributions. More specifically, given a distribution family $\mathcal{P}$ and sample access to an unknown discrete distribution…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Clément L. Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Alistair Stewart

In this article, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of hypotheses when the individual test statistics are not necessarily independent. Specifically, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of point null hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

The preferential sampling of locations chosen to observe a spatio-temporal process has been identified as a major problem across multiple fields. Predictions of the process can be severely biased when standard statistical methodologies are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Joe Watson

The fairness in machine learning is getting increasing attention, as its applications in different fields continue to expand and diversify. To mitigate the discriminated model behaviors between different demographic groups, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Taeuk Jang , Pengyi Shi , Xiaoqian Wang

Bayesian inference affords scientists with powerful tools for testing hypotheses. One of these tools is the Bayes factor, which indexes the extent to which support for one hypothesis over another is updated after seeing the data. Part of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-11 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

Fraudulent activities are an expensive problem for many financial institutions, costing billions of dollars to corporations annually. More commonly occurring activities in this regard are credit card frauds. In this context, the credit card…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Harshit Sharma , Harsh K. Gandhi , Apoorv Jain

Generating fair and accurate predictions plays a pivotal role in deploying large language models (LLMs) in the real world. However, existing debiasing methods inevitably generate unfair or incorrect predictions as they are designed and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Ruizhe Chen , Yichen Li , Jianfei Yang , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Jian Wu , Zuozhu Liu

The objective of goodness-of-fit testing is to assess whether a dataset of observations is likely to have been drawn from a candidate probability distribution. This paper presents a rank-based family of goodness-of-fit tests that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Feras A. Saad , Cameron E. Freer , Nathanael L. Ackerman , Vikash K. Mansinghka