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Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

Periodic and semi periodic patterns are very common in nature. In this paper we introduce a topological toolbox aiming in detecting and quantifying periodicity. The presented technique is of a general nature and may be employed wherever…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Paweł Dłotko , Wanling Qiu , Simon Rudkin

The main motivation of this paper is to introduce the permutation Jensen-Shannon distance, a symbolic tool able to quantify the degree of similarity between two arbitrary time series. This quantifier results from the fusion of two concepts,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-04-20 Luciano Zunino , Felipe Olivares , Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Osvaldo A. Rosso

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

This paper reports on the application to field measurements of time series methods developed on the basis of the theory of deterministic chaos. The major difficulties are pointed out that arise when the data cannot be assumed to be purely…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Thomas Schreiber

Many systems exhibit complex temporal dynamics due to the presence of different processes taking place simultaneously. An important task in such systems is to extract a simplified view of their time-dependent network of interactions.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-23 Alexandre Bovet , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Renaud Lambiotte

There is a growing interest in methods for detecting and interpreting changes in experimental time evolution data. Based on measured time series, the quantitative characterization of dynamical phase transitions at bifurcation points of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-19 Bulcsú Sándor , András Rusu , Károly Dénes , Mária Ercsey-Ravasz , Zsolt I. Lázár

Catastrophic transitions, where a system shifts abruptly between alternate steady states, are a generic feature of many nonlinear systems. Recently these regime shift were suggested as the mechanism underlies many ecological catastrophes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Haim Weissmann , Nadav M. Shnerb

Extracting relevant properties of empirical signals generated by nonlinear, stochastic, and high-dimensional systems is a challenge of complex systems research. Open questions are how to differentiate chaotic signals from stochastic ones,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-08 B. R. R. Boaretto , R. C. Budzinski , K. L. Rossi , T. L. Prado , S. R. Lopes , C. Masoller

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

The continued digitization of societal processes translates into a proliferation of time series data that cover applications such as fraud detection, intrusion detection, and energy management, where anomaly detection is often essential to…

We develop an anomaly-detection method when systematic anomalies, possibly statistically very similar to genuine inputs, are affecting control systems at the input and/or output stages. The method allows anomaly-free inputs (i.e., those…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

Sequential change diagnosis is the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the distribution of a random sequence. In this problem, the common probability law of a sequence of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-29 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

Detecting anomalous time series is key for scientific, medical and industrial tasks, but is challenging due to its inherent unsupervised nature. In recent years, progress has been made on this task by learning increasingly more complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Yedid Hoshen

Multiscale phenomena that evolve on multiple distinct timescales are prevalent throughout the sciences. It is often the case that the governing equations of the persistent and approximately periodic fast scales are prescribed, while the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-19 Jason J. Bramburger , Daniel Dylewsky , J. Nathan Kutz

We characterise the evolution of a dynamical system by combining two well-known complex systems' tools, namely, symbolic ordinal analysis and networks. From the ordinal representation of a time-series we construct a network in which every…

Multivariate oscillatory signals from complex systems often exhibit non-stationary dynamics and metastable regime structure, making dynamical interpretation challenging. We introduce a ``dynamical microscope'' framework that converts…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-12 Łukasz Furman , Ludovico Minati , Włodzisław Duch

The analysis of chaotic signals with time-frequency methods is considered. For this purpose, two new transformations are presented which consist in the decomposition of a signal onto an orthogonal set of respectively linear and hyperbolic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-07-28 Benjamin Ricaud , Francoise Briolle , F. Clairet

Time series anomaly detection is an important process for system monitoring and model switching, among other applications in cyber-physical systems. In this document, we present a fast subspace method for time series anomaly detection, with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Fredy Vides , Esteban Segura , Carlos Vargas-Agüero