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We study the problem of robustly estimating the mean or location parameter without moment assumptions. We show that for a large class of symmetric distributions, the same error as in the Gaussian setting can be achieved efficiently. The…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Gleb Novikov , David Steurer , Stefan Tiegel

The machine learning literature contains several constructions for prediction intervals that are intuitively reasonable but ultimately ad-hoc in that they do not come with provable performance guarantees. We present methods from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Danijel Kivaranovic , Kory D. Johnson , Hannes Leeb

Probabilistic methods have attracted much interest in fault detection design, but its need for complete distributional knowledge is seldomly fulfilled. This has spurred endeavors in distributionally robust fault detection (DRFD) design,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Chao Shang , Hao Ye , Dexian Huang , Steven X. Ding

Debiased recommendation with a randomized dataset has shown very promising results in mitigating the system-induced biases. However, it still lacks more theoretical insights or an ideal optimization objective function compared with the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Dugang Liu , Pengxiang Cheng , Zinan Lin , Xiaolian Zhang , Zhenhua Dong , Rui Zhang , Xiuqiang He , Weike Pan , Zhong Ming

We formulate a uniform tail bound for empirical processes indexed by a class of functions, in terms of the individual deviations of the functions rather than the worst-case deviation in the considered class. The tail bound is established by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Sohail Bahmani

We study quantum algorithms for verifying properties of the output probability distribution of a classical or quantum circuit, given access to the source code that generates the distribution. We consider the basic task of uniformity…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-08 Clément L. Canonne , Robin Kothari , Ryan O'Donnell

Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Richard Arratia , Peter Baxendale

The estimation of information measures of continuous distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. In this paper, we analyze estimates of differential entropy in $K$-dimensional Euclidean space,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Georg Pichler , Pablo Piantanida , Günther Koliander

Shape estimation and object reconstruction are common problems in image analysis. Mathematically, viewing objects in the image plane as random sets reduces the problem of shape estimation to inference about sets. Currently existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-12 Larissa I. Stanberry , Hanna K. Jankowski

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Kurtosis minus squared skewness is bounded from below by 1, but for unimodal distributions this parameter is bounded by 189/125. In some applications it is natural to compare distributions by comparing their kurtosis-minus-squared-skewness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Chris A. J. Klaassen , Bert van Es

A bound uniform over various loss-classes is given for data generated by stationary and phi-mixing processes, where the mixing time (the time needed to obtain approximate independence) enters the sample complexity only in an additive way.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Andreas Maurer

A $k$-modal probability distribution over the discrete domain $\{1,...,n\}$ is one whose histogram has at most $k$ "peaks" and "valleys." Such distributions are natural generalizations of monotone ($k=0$) and unimodal ($k=1$) probability…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-09-16 Constantinos Daskalakis , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rocco A. Servedio

Uniform convergence rates are provided for asymptotic representations of sample extremes. These bounds which are universal in the sense that they do not depend on the extreme value index are meant to be extended to arbitrary samples…

This paper provides a general technique for lower bounding the Bayes risk of statistical estimation, applicable to arbitrary loss functions and arbitrary prior distributions. A lower bound on the Bayes risk not only serves as a lower bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-26 Xi Chen , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuchen Zhang

This work examines risk bounds for nonparametric distributional regression estimators. For convex-constrained distributional regression, general upper bounds are established for the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the…

Widely used loss functions for CNN segmentation, e.g., Dice or cross-entropy, are based on integrals over the segmentation regions. Unfortunately, for highly unbalanced segmentations, such regional summations have values that differ by…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-20 Hoel Kervadec , Jihene Bouchtiba , Christian Desrosiers , Eric Granger , Jose Dolz , Ismail Ben Ayed

The Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence estimation/prediction in a proper learning setup is studied. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

The overarching goal of this paper is to derive excess risk bounds for learning from exp-concave loss functions in passive and sequential learning settings. Exp-concave loss functions encompass several fundamental problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Mehrdad Mahdavi , Rong Jin

We study prediction and estimation problems using empirical risk minimization, relative to a general convex loss function. We obtain sharp error rates even when concentration is false or is very restricted, for example, in heavy-tailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Shahar Mendelson
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