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This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos Martínez

The scaled Brownian motion (SBM) is regarded as one of the paradigmatic random processes, featuring the anomalous diffusion property characterized by the diffusion exponent. It is a Gaussian, self-similar process with independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Hubert Woszczek , Aleksei Chechkin , Agnieszka Wylomanska

Recent rapid advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques resulted in an unprecedented abundance of diffusion data exhibiting complex behaviours, such the presence of power law tails of the msd and memory functions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-08 Jakub Ślęzak

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

Our investigation is specially motivated by the stochastic version of a common model of potential spread in a dendritic tree. We do not assume the noise in the junction points to be Markovian. In fact, we allow for long-range dependence in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Delio Mugnolo

The analysis of local minima in time series data and random landscapes is essential across numerous scientific disciplines, offering critical insights into system dynamics. Recently, Kundu, Majumdar, and Schehr derived the exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-19 Maxim Dolgushev , Olivier Bénichou

Volatility of intra-day stock market indices computed at various time horizons exhibits a scaling behaviour that differs from what would be expected from fractional Brownian motion (fBm). We investigate this anomalous scaling by using…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Noemi Nava , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Classical option pricing schemes assume that the value of a financial asset follows a geometric Brownian motion (GBM). However, a growing body of studies suggest that a simple GBM trajectory is not an adequate representation for asset…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Viktor Stojkoski , Trifce Sandev , Lasko Basnarkov , Ljupco Kocarev , Ralf Metzler

Brownian motion (BM) is pivotal in natural science for the stochastic motion of microscopic droplets. In this study, we investigate BM driven by thermal composition noise at sub-micro scales, where inter-molecular diffusion and surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-26 Haodong Zhang , Fei Wang , Lorenz Ratke , Britta Nestler

Motivated by the anomalous diffusion observed in clusters of active Brownian particles (ABPs), where the center-of-mass diffusion coefficient scales as $D\sim N^{-1/2}$ with respect to the number $N$ of particles in the cluster, we derive a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-07 Daniela Moretti , Pasquale Digregorio , Giuseppe Gonnella , Antonio Suma

In exponential population growth, variability in the timing of individual division events and environmental factors (including stochastic inoculation) compound to produce variable growth trajectories. In several stochastic models of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-25 Eric W. Jones , Joshua Derrick , Roger M. Nisbet , Will Ludington , David A. Sivak

We investigate stochastic processes that generalize geometric Brownian motion, focusing on cases where the standard invariant measure, i.e. the solution of the stationary Fokker-Planck equation does not necessarily exist. We demonstrate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-18 S. Giordano , R. Blossey

In this thesis, branching Brownian motion (BBM) is a random particle system where the particles diffuse on the real line according to Brownian motions and branch at constant rate into a random number of particles with expectation greater…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Pascal Maillard

We report on novel Brownian, yet non-Gaussian diffusion, in which the mean square displacement of the particle grows linearly with time, the probability density for the particle spreading is Gaussian-like, however, the probability density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 K. Białas , J. Łuczka , P. Hänggi , J. Spiechowicz

Brownian motion is a central scientific paradigm. Recently, due to increasing efforts and interests towards miniaturization and small-scale physics or biology, the effects of confinement on such a motion have become a key topic of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-13 Elodie Millan , Maxime Lavaud , Yacine Amarouchene , Thomas Salez

We study reaction-diffusion particle systems with several interaction mechanisms. As the number of particles tends to infinity, the system admits a mean-field limit describing the bulk behaviour. We focus on determining the propagation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Matthieu Jonckheere , Seva Shneer

State-of-the-art techniques in passive particle-tracking microscopy provide high-resolution path trajectories of diverse foreign particles in biological fluids. For particles on the order of 1 micron diameter, these paths are generally…

Logistic growth models are recurrent in biology, epidemiology, market models, and neural and social networks. They find important applications in many other fields including laser modelling. In numerous realistic cases the growth rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 G. Aquino , M. Bologna , H. Calisto

We consider a limit order book, where buyers and sellers register to trade a security at specific prices. The largest price buyers on the book are willing to offer is called the market bid price, and the smallest price sellers on the book…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-28 Xin Liu , Qi Gong , Vidyadhar G. Kulkarni

The two-variable Langevin equations, modeling the Brownian motion of a particle moving in a potential and leading to the Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution of the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation, are shown to give rise to types of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-10 Jiulin Du
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