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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is a challenging problem due to the complex nature of the time series expressing multiple seasonality and varying variance. This paper proposes an extension of a hybrid forecasting model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

The recent abundance of data on electricity consumption at different scales opens new challenges and highlights the need for new techniques to leverage information present at finer scales in order to improve forecasts at wider scales. In…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-23 Anestis Antoniadis , Solenne Gaucher , Yannig Goude

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

Thermal power flow (TPF) is an important task for various control purposes in 4 Th generation district heating grids with multiple decentral heat sources and meshed grid structures. Computing the TPF, i.e., determining the grid state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Andreas Bott , Mario Beykirch , Florian Steinke

In the smart grid of the future, accurate load forecasts on the level of individual clients can help to balance supply and demand locally and to prevent grid outages. While the number of monitored clients will increase with the ongoing…

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman

This paper addresses the use of smart-home sensor streams for continuous prediction of energy loads of individual households which participate as an agent in local markets. We introduces a new device level energy consumption dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Christoph Doblander , Martin Strohbach , Holger Ziekow , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

The short-time Fourier transform (STFT) is widely used for analyzing non-stationary signals. However, its performance is highly sensitive to its parameters, and manual or heuristic tuning often yields suboptimal results. To overcome this…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Maxime Leiber , Yosra Marnissi , Axel Barrau , Sylvain Meignen , Laurent Massoulié

Leveraging spatio-temporal correlations among wind farms can significantly enhance the accuracy of ultra-short-term wind power forecasting. However, the complex and dynamic nature of these correlations presents significant modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Xiaochong Dong , Xuemin Zhang , Ming Yang , Shengwei Mei

In this paper, for the purpose of data centre energy consumption monitoring and analysis, we propose to detect the running programs in a server by classifying the observed power consumption series. Time series classification problem has…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-08 Yuanlong Li , Han Hu , Yonggang Wen , Jun Zhang

New micro-grid design with renewable energy sources and battery storage systems can help improve greenhouse gas emissions and reduce the operational cost. To provide an effective short-/long-term forecasting of both energy generation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Jiangjiao Xu , Ke Li

Time-series forecasting in real-world applications such as finance and energy often faces challenges due to limited training data and complex, noisy temporal dynamics. Existing deep forecasting models typically supervise predictions using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Jiacheng You , Jingcheng Yang , Yuhang Xie , Zhongxuan Wu , Xiucheng Li , Feng Li , Pengjie Wang , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng , Xinyang Chen

With the proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs), accurate charging demand and station occupancy forecasting are critical for optimizing urban energy and the profit of EVs aggregator. Existing approaches in this field usually struggle to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Hang Fan , Yunze Chai , Chenxi Liu , Weican Liu , Zuhan Zhang , Wencai Run , Dunnan Liu

With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Transformers have gained attention in atmospheric time series forecasting (ATSF) for their ability to capture global spatial-temporal correlations. However, their complex architectures lead to excessive parameter counts and extended…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Yisong Fu , Fei Wang , Zezhi Shao , Boyu Diao , Lin Wu , Zhulin An , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Yongjun Xu

Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Jonathan Yang , Mingjian Tuo , Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li