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This work proposes ensemble Kalman randomized maximum likelihood estimation, a new derivative-free method for performing randomized maximum likelihood estimation, which is a method that can be used to generate approximate samples from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pavlos Stavrinides , Elizabeth Qian

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

We study the nonparametric change point estimation for common changes in the means of panel data. The consistency of estimates is investigated when the number of panels tends to infinity but the sample size remains finite. Our focus is on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Leonid Torgovitski

We study sparse group Lasso for high-dimensional double sparse linear regression, where the parameter of interest is simultaneously element-wise and group-wise sparse. This problem is an important instance of the simultaneously structured…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-10 T. Tony Cai , Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

This paper examines learning the optimal filtering policy, known as the Kalman gain, for a linear system with unknown noise covariance matrices using noisy output data. The learning problem is formulated as a stochastic policy optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-27 Shahriar Talebi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Mehran Mesbahi

We present a stochastic predictive controller for discrete time linear time invariant systems under incomplete state information. Our approach is based on a suitable choice of control policies, stability constraints, and employment of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Prabhat Kumar Mishra , Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel E. Quevedo

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a noisy linear dynamical system when an unknown subset of sensors is arbitrarily corrupted by an adversary. We propose a secure state estimation algorithm, and derive (optimal) bounds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Shaunak Mishra , Yasser Shoukry , Nikhil Karamchandani , Suhas Diggavi , Paulo Tabuada

State estimation in stochastic dynamical systems with noisy measurements is a challenge. While the Kalman filter is optimal for linear systems with independent Gaussian white noise, real-world conditions often deviate from these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Hassan Mortada , Cyril Falcon , Yanis Kahil , Mathéo Clavaud , Jean-Philippe Michel

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

We consider the problem of optimal control for partially observed dynamical systems. Despite its prevalence in practical applications, there are still very few algorithms available, which take uncertainties in the current state estimates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Sebastian Reich

As machine-learning models grow in size, their implementation requirements cannot be met by a single computer system. This observation motivates distributed settings, in which intermediate computations are performed across a network of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Yuval Ben-Hur , Yuval Cassuto

Prediction error and maximum likelihood methods are powerful tools for identifying linear dynamical systems and, in particular, enable the joint estimation of model parameters and the Kalman filter used for state estimation. A key…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Léo Simpson , Moritz Diehl

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

This paper introduces new techniques for using convex optimization to fit input-output data to a class of stable nonlinear dynamical models. We present an algorithm that guarantees consistent estimates of models in this class when a small…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

We present a theory-first framework that interprets inference-time adaptation in large language models (LLMs) as online Bayesian state estimation. Rather than modeling rapid adaptation as implicit optimization or meta-learning, we formulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Andrew Kiruluta

Sparse linear inverse problems appear in a variety of settings, but often the noise contaminating observations cannot accurately be described as bounded by or arising from a Gaussian distribution. Poisson observations in particular are a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Xin Jiang , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard , Laure Sansonnet , Rebecca Willett

Quantum coherences are paramount resources for applications, such as quantum-enhanced light-harvesting or quantum computing, which are fragile against environmental noise. We here derive generalized quantum master equations using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-03 Chahan M. Kropf

The article is devoted to the problem of synthesis of observers of state variables for linear stationary objects operating under conditions of noise or disturbances in the measurement channel. The paper considers a fully observable linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-26 Alexey Bobtsov , Vladimir Virobyev , Nikolay Nikolaev , Anton Pyrkin , Romeo Ortega

The Kalman(-Bucy) filter is the natural choice for the state reconstruction of disturbed, linear dynamical systems based on flawed and incomplete measurements. Taking a deterministic viewpoint this work investigates possible extensions of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Karl Kunisch , Jesper Schröder

We present a learning theory for the training of a linear system operator having an input compositional variable and propose a Bayesian inversion method for inferring the unknown variable from an output of a noisy linear system. We assume…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Se Un Park
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