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Bayesian hierarchical models are increasingly popular for realistic modelling and analysis of complex data. This trend is accompanied by the need for flexible, general, and computationally efficient methods for model criticism and conflict…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Egil Ferkingstad , Leonhard Held , Håvard Rue

In contested domains, instruction-tuned language models must balance user-alignment pressures against faithfulness to the in-context evidence. To evaluate this tension, we introduce a controlled epistemic-conflict framework grounded in the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Sai Koneru , Elphin Joe , Christine Kirchhoff , Jian Wu , Sarah Rajtmajer

Changepoint models enjoy a wide appeal in a variety of disciplines to model the heterogeneity of ordered data. Graphical influence diagnostics to characterize the influence of single observations on changepoint models are, however, lacking.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-23 Ines Wilms , Rebecca Killick , David S. Matteson

Mixed effects regression models are widely used by language researchers. However, these regressions are implemented with an algorithm which may not converge on a solution. While convergence issues in linear mixed effects models can often be…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-10 Amelia Kimball , Kailen Shantz , Christopher Eager , Joseph Roy

In graph transformation, a conflict describes a situation where two alternative transformations cannot be arbitrarily serialized. When enriching graphs with attributes, existing conflict detection techniques typically report a conflict…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-04-13 Géza Kulcsár , Frederik Deckwerth , Malte Lochau , Gergely Varró , Andy Schürr

In narrative synthesis of evidence, it can be the case that the only quantitative measures available concerning the efficacy of an intervention is the direction of the effect, i.e. whether it is positive or negative. In such situations, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-05 Stavros Nikolakopoulos

Globally operating enterprises selling large and complex products and services often have to deal with situations where variability models are locally developed to take into account the requirements of local markets. For example, cars sold…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Mathias Uta , Alexander Felfernig , Gottfried Schenner , Johannes Spoecklberger

There is a growing proportion of people with several disease conditions ("multimorbidity"), placing increasing demands on healthcare systems. One hypothesis is that clusters of diseases may arise from shared underlying disease processes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Anthony J. Webster

Current merge tools don't detect semantic conflicts, which occur when changes from different developers are textually integrated but semantically interfere with each other. Although researchers have proposed static analyses for detecting…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Matheus Barbosa , Paulo Borba , Rodrigo Bonifácio , Victor Lira , Galileu Santos

Multiple testing problems arise naturally in scientific studies because of the need to capture or convey more information with more variables. The literature is enormous, but the emphasis is primarily methodological, providing numerous…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-10-07 Yudi Pawitan , Arvid Sjölander

When reasoning with uncertainty there are many situations where evidences are not only uncertain but their propositions may also be weakly specified in the sense that it may not be certain to which event a proposition is referring. It is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

As NLP models become increasingly integrated into real-world applications, it becomes clear that there is a need to address the fact that models often rely on and generate conflicting information. Conflicts could reflect the complexity of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Siyi Liu , Dan Roth

Local sensitivity diagnostics for Bayesian models are described that are analogues of frequentist measures of leverage and influence. The diagnostics are simple to calculate using MCMC. A comparison between leverage and influence allows a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Martyn Plummer

Models notoriously suffer from dataset biases which are detrimental to robustness and generalization. The identify-emphasize paradigm shows a promising effect in dealing with unknown biases. However, we find that it is still plagued by two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Bowen Zhao , Chen Chen , Qian-Wei Wang , Anfeng He , Shu-Tao Xia

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved impressive advancements across numerous disciplines, yet the critical issue of knowledge conflicts, a major source of hallucinations, has rarely been studied. Only a few research explored the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Zhaochen Su , Jun Zhang , Xiaoye Qu , Tong Zhu , Yanshu Li , Jiashuo Sun , Juntao Li , Min Zhang , Yu Cheng

Recent works have investigated the problem of the conflict redistribution in the fusion rules of evidence theories. As a consequence of these works, many new rules have been proposed. Now, there is not a clear theoretical criterion for a…

Logic · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Frederic Dambreville

Detecting and measuring confounding effects from data is a key challenge in causal inference. Existing methods frequently assume causal sufficiency, disregarding the presence of unobserved confounding variables. Causal sufficiency is both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

When simultaneously reasoning with evidences about several different events it is necessary to separate the evidence according to event. These events should then be handled independently. However, when propositions of evidences are weakly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

Human head detection, keypoint estimation, and 3D head model fitting are essential tasks with many applications. However, traditional real-world datasets often suffer from bias, privacy, and ethical concerns, and they have been recorded in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Orest Kupyn , Eugene Khvedchenia , Christian Rupprecht