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We consider statistical inference in the density estimation model using a tree-based Bayesian approach, with Optional P\'olya trees as prior distribution. We derive near-optimal convergence rates for corresponding posterior distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Ismaël Castillo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Quantile regression is a field with steadily growing importance in statistical modeling. It is a complementary method to linear regression, since computing a range of conditional quantile functions provides a more accurate modelling of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-09 Marija Tepegjozova , Jing Zhou , Gerda Claeskens , Claudia Czado

In this paper, a Bayesian semiparametric copula approach is used to model the underlying multivariate distribution $F_{true}$. First, the Dirichlet process is constructed on the unknown marginal distributions of $F_{true}$. Then a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-05 Luai Al-Labadi , Forough Fazeli Asl , Zahra Saberi

Estimating copulas with discrete marginal distributions is challenging, especially in high dimensions, because computing the likelihood contribution of each observation requires evaluating $2^{J}$ terms, with $J$ the number of discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-12 D. Gunawan , M. -N. Tran , K. Suzuki , J. Dick , R. Kohn

The Bayesian approach to inference stands out for naturally allowing borrowing information across heterogeneous populations, with different samples possibly sharing the same distribution. A popular Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

We propose Dirichlet Process mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DP-GLM), a new method of nonparametric regression that accommodates continuous and categorical inputs, and responses that can be modeled by a generalized linear model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-16 Lauren A. Hannah , David M. Blei , Warren B. Powell

One of the features inherent in nested Archimedean copulas, also called hierarchical Archimedean copulas, is their rooted tree structure. A nonparametric, rank-based method to estimate this structure is presented. The idea is to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-18 Johan Segers , Nathan Uyttendaele

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

Causal mediation analysis in cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) is essential for explaining how cluster-level interventions affect individual outcomes, yet it is complicated by interference, post-treatment confounding, and hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Yuki Ohnishi , Michael J. Daniels , Lei Yang , Fan Li

The P\'olya tree (PT) process is a general-purpose Bayesian nonparametric model that has found wide application in a range of inference problems. It has a simple analytic form and the posterior computation boils down to beta-binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Naoki Awaya , Li Ma

Regular vine copulas can describe a wider array of dependency patterns than the multivariate Gaussian copula or the multivariate Student's t copula. This paper presents two contributions related to model selection of regular vine copulas.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Lutz Gruber , Claudia Czado

Methods based on Bayesian decision tree ensembles have proven valuable in constructing high-quality predictions, and are particularly attractive in certain settings because they encourage low-order interaction effects. Despite adapting to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Junliang Du , Antonio R. Linero

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. Prior specification is, however, relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

Dupuytren disease is a fibroproliferative disorder with unknown etiology that often progresses and eventually can cause permanent contractures of the affected fingers. In this paper, we provide a computationally efficient Bayesian framework…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-08 Abdolreza Mohammadi , Fentaw Abegaz , Edwin van den Heuvel , Ernst C. Wit

In this paper we study nonparametric estimators of copulas and copula densities. We first focus our study on a density copula estimator based on a polynomial orthogonal projection of the joint density. A new copula estimator is then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Yves Ismaël Ngounou Bakam , Denys Pommeret

The increasing use of vine copulas in high-dimensional settings, where the number of parameters is often of the same order as the sample size, calls for asymptotic theory beyond the traditional fixed-$p$, large-$n$ framework. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

The benefits of diversifying risks are difficult to estimate quantitatively because of the uncertainties in the dependence structure between the risks. Also, the modelling of multidimensional dependencies is a non-trivial task. This paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-11 Jean-Philippe Bruneton

We propose a new highly flexible and tractable Bayesian approach to undertake variable selection in non-Gaussian regression models. It uses a copula decomposition for the joint distribution of observations on the dependent variable. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-07 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith