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Bayesian hierarchical models are increasing popular in economics. When using hierarchical models, it is useful not only to calculate posterior expectations, but also to measure the robustness of these expectations to reasonable alternative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick , Rachael Meager , Jonathan Huggins , Michael Jordan

Small area estimation has become an important tool in official statistics, used to construct estimates of population quantities for domains with small sample sizes. Typical area-level models function as a type of heteroscedastic regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

We revisit empirical Bayes in the absence of a tractable likelihood function, as is typical in scientific domains relying on computer simulations. We investigate how the empirical Bayesian can make use of neural density estimators first to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-02 Maxime Vandegar , Michael Kagan , Antoine Wehenkel , Gilles Louppe

Cosmological parameter uncertainties are often stated assuming a particular model, neglecting the model uncertainty, even when Bayesian model selection is unable to identify a conclusive best model. Bayesian model averaging is a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-23 David Parkinson , Andrew R. Liddle

Drawing statistical inferences from large datasets in a model-robust way is an important problem in statistics and data science. In this paper, we propose methods that are robust to large and unequal noise in different observational units…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-10 Edgar Dobriban , Weijie J. Su , Yachong Yang , Zhixiang Zhang

Fine stratification is a popular design as it permits the stratification to be carried out to the fullest possible extent. Some examples include the Current Population Survey and National Crime Victimization Survey both conducted by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi

We propose a novel approach to Bayesian analysis that is provably robust to outliers in the data and often has computational advantages over standard methods. Our technique is based on splitting the data into non-overlapping subgroups,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Stanislav Minsker , Sanvesh Srivastava , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

The ordinary Bayes estimator based on the posterior density suffers from the potential problems of non-robustness under data contamination or outliers. In this paper, we consider the general set-up of independent but non-homogeneous (INH)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-28 Tuhin Majumder , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

For the important classical problem of inference on a sparse high-dimensional normal mean vector, we propose a novel empirical Bayes model that admits a posterior distribution with desirable properties under mild conditions. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Multi-level normal hierarchical models, also interpreted as mixed effects models, play an important role in developing statistical theory in multi-parameter estimation for a wide range of applications. In this article, we propose a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Aditi Sen , Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

Data on rates, percentages or proportions arise frequently in many different applied disciplines like medical biology, health care, psychology and several others. In this paper, we develop a robust inference procedure for the beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Abhik Ghosh

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

When estimating area means, direct estimators based on area-specific data, are usually consistent under the sampling design without model assumptions. However, they are inefficient if the area sample size is small. In small area estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 William Acero , Isabel Molina , J. Miguel Marín

We consider the so-called unfolding problem in experimental high energy physics, where the goal is to estimate the true spectrum of elementary particles given observations distorted by measurement error due to the limited resolution of a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-03 Mikael Kuusela , Victor M. Panaretos

A common task in high-throughput biology is to test for differences in means between two samples across thousands of features (e.g., genes or proteins), often with only a handful of replicates per sample. Moderated t-tests handle this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Wanyi Ling , Wufang Hong , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

We consider the problem of estimating the means $\mu_i$ of $n$ random variables $Y_i \sim N(\mu_i,1)$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$. Assuming some structure on the $\mu$ process, e.g., a state space model, one may use a summary statistics for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 E. Greenshtein , A. Mansura , Y. Ritov

This study considers various semiparametric difference-in-differences models under different assumptions on the relation between the treatment group identifier, time and covariates for cross-sectional and panel data. The variance lower…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-17 Michael Zimmert

In data-driven learning and inference tasks, the high cost of acquiring samples from the target distribution often limits performance. A common strategy to mitigate this challenge is to augment the limited target samples with data from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Barron Han , Danil Akhtiamov , Reza Ghane , Babak Hassibi
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