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We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

Stochastic models for chemical reaction networks are increasingly popular in systems and synthetic biology. These models formulate the reaction dynamics as Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMCs) whose propensities are parameterized by a…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Quentin Badolle , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Studying the development of malignant tumours, it is important to know and predict the proportions of different cell types in tissue samples. Knowing the expected temporal evolution of the proportion of normal tissue cells, compared to…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-24 Siavash Ghavami , Olaf Wolkenhauer , Farshad Lahouti , Mukhtar Ullah , Michael Linnebacher

The classical sparse parameter identification methods are usually based on the iterative basis selection such as greedy algorithms, or the numerical optimization of regularized cost functions such as LASSO and Bayesian posterior probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Yanxin Fu , Wenxiao Zhao

We consider the problem of efficiently performing simulation and inference for stochastic kinetic models. Whilst it is possible to work directly with the resulting Markov jump process, computational cost can be prohibitive for networks of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-18 Chris Sherlock , Andrew Golightly , Colin Gillespie

This work considers the problem of learning the Markov parameters of a linear system from observed data. Recent non-asymptotic system identification results have characterized the sample complexity of this problem in the single and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Han Wang , James Anderson

Stochastic models for chemical reaction networks have become very popular in recent years. For such models, the estimation of parameter sensitivities is an important and challenging problem. Sensitivity values help in analyzing the network,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

In this thesis we consider stochastic resonance for a diffusion with drift given by a potential, which has two metastable states and two pathways between them. Depending on the direction of the forcing the height of the two barriers, one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Tommy Liu

Reliable state estimation depends on accurately modeled noise covariances, which are difficult to determine in practice. This paper formulates the noise covariance estimation as a bilevel optimization problem that factorizes the joint…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-08 Haoying Li , Yifan Peng , Yuchi Wu , Junfeng Wu

We consider a two-node queue modeled as a two-dimensional random walk. In particular, we consider the case that one or both queues have finite buffers. We develop an approximation scheme based on the Markov reward approach to error bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Yanting Chen , Xinwei Bai , Richard J. Boucherie , Jasper Goseling

Recently, global pulsar timing arrays have released results from searching for a nano-Hertz gravitational wave background signal. Although there has not been any definite evidence of the presence of such a signal in residuals of pulsar…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-12 A. Samajdar , G. Shaifullah , A. Sesana , J. Antoniadis , M. Burgay , D. J. Champion , S. Chen , M. Kramer , J. W. McKee , M. B. Mickaliger , E. Van der Wateren

We study the computational complexity of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression under sparsity constraints. We first show that a Bayesian approach can achieve variable-selection consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Yun Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

In this work, we present a general method to establish properties of multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chains representing stochastic reaction networks. This method consists of grouping states together (via a partition of the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Guillaume Ballif , Laurent Pfeiffer , Jakob Ruess

The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov

This report introduces a parsimonious structure for mixture of autoregressive models, where the weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables as functions of all past observations. These variables follow a hidden…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-17 S. H. Alizadeh , S. Rezakhah

Identifying important features linked to a response variable is a fundamental task in various scientific domains. This article explores statistical inference for simulated Markov random fields in high-dimensional settings. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-23 Haoyu Wei , Xiaoyu Lei , Yixin Han , Huiming Zhang

We analyze the statistical performance of identification of stochastic dynamical systems with non-linear measurement sensors. This includes stochastic Wiener systems, with linear dynamics, process noise and measured by a non-linear sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Bo Wahlberg , Lennart Ljung

This paper studies the problem of parameter estimation in resonant, acoustic fluid-structure interaction problems over a wide frequency range. Problems with multiple resonances are known to be subjected to local minima, which represents a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-03-06 Peter Göransson , Jacques Cuenca , Timo Lähivaara

This paper addresses distributed parameter estimation in stochastic dynamic systems with quantized measurements, constrained by quantized communication and Markovian switching directed topologies. To enable accurate recovery of the original…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Ying Wang , Jian Guo , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-feng Zhang

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte