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The Indian monsoon brings around 80% of the annual rainfall over the summer months June--September to the Indian subcontinent. The timing of the monsoon onset and the associated rainfall has a large impact on agriculture, thus impacting the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Lucy G. Recchia , Valerio Lucarini

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting, which predicts climate conditions from several weeks to months in advance, represents a critical frontier for agricultural planning, energy management, and disaster preparedness. However, it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Tengfei Lyu , Weijia Zhang , Hao Liu

An open question in the field of heavy-ion collisions is to what extent the size of initial inhomogeneities in the system affects measured observables. Here we present a method to smooth out these inhomogeneities with minimal effect on…

Recent work has provided ample evidence that global climate dynamics at time-scales between multiple weeks and several years can be severely affected by the episodic occurrence of both, internal (climatic) and external (non-climatic)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-15 Tim Kittel , Catrin Ciemer , Nastaran Lotfi , Thomas Peron , Francisco Rodrigues , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

Water droplets coalesce into larger ones in atmospheric clouds to form rain. But droplets on collision courses do not always coalesce due to the cushioning effects of the air between them. The extent to which these so-called hydrodynamic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-19 R. V. Kearney , G. P. Bewley

Understanding droughts in a climate context remains a major challenge. Over the United States, different choices of observations and metrics have often produced diametrically opposite insights. This paper focuses on understanding and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-31 Poulomi Ganguli , Auroop R. Ganguly

This work addresses the data-driven forecasting of extreme events in the airfoil flow. These events may be seen as examples of the kind of unsteady and intermittent dynamics relevant to the flow around airfoils and wings in a variety of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-14 Benedikt Barthel , Themistoklis Sapsis

Specific aspects of time series analysis are discussed. They are related to the analysis of atmospheric data that are pertinent to clouds. A brief introduction on some of the most interesting topics of current research on climate/weather…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos , T. Ackerman , H. N. Shirer , E. E. Clothiaux

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

The impact of extreme climate such as drought and flooding on agriculture, tourism, migration and peace in Nigeria is immense. There is the need to study the trend and statistics for better planning, preparation and adaptation. In this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-20 Samuel T. Ogunjo , Oluwatobi O. Ife-Adediran , Eunice O. Owoola , Ibiyinka A. Fuwape

Grid (1{\deg} latitude x 1{\deg} longitude) level daily rainfall data over India from June to September for the years 1951 to 2007, generated by India Meteorological Department, was analyzed to build monthly time series of Standardized…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-09-16 M. Naresh Kumar , C. S. Murthy , M. V. R. Sesha Sai , P. S. Roy

Assessments of impacts of climate change and future projections over the Indian region, have so far relied on a single regional climate model (RCM) - eg., the PRECIS RCM of the Hadley Centre, UK. While these assessments have provided inputs…

In a changing climate, a key role may be played by the response of convective-type cloud and precipitation to temperature changes. Yet, it is unclear if precipitation intensities will increase mainly due to modified thermodynamic forcing or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-12 Christopher Moseley , Cathy Hohenegger , Peter Berg , Jan O. Haerter

The seasonal prediction of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations (MISO), as well as the Madden Julian Oscillations (MJO) that strongly modulate MISO, is important to the country for water and crop…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-15 Ushnanshu Dutta , Moumita Bhowmik , Anupam Hazra , Chein-Jung Shiu , Jen-Ping Chen

Monthly streamflow records from a set of gauging stations, selected to form a reference hydrologic network, are analyzed together with precipitation and temperature data to establish whether the streamflows in the Guadalquivir River Basin…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-19 Patricio Yeste , Javier Dorador , Wenceslao Martín-Rosales , Emilio Molero , María Jesús Esteban Parra

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Evaluating the magnitude of natural climate variations is important because it can greatly affect future climate policies. As an example, we examine the influence of changes in solar activity (solar wind in particular) on surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-12 Kiminori Itoh , Shinya Matsuo , Hiroshi Serizawa , Kazuyoshi Yamashita , Takashi Amemiya

Water density fluctuations are an important statistical mechanical observable that is related to many-body correlations, as well as hydrophobic hydration and interactions. Local water density fluctuations at a solid-water surface have also…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-05-28 Amish J. Patel , Patrick Varilly , David Chandler , Shekhar Garde

Downscaling is necessary to generate high-resolution observation data to validate the climate model forecast or monitor rainfall at the micro-regional level operationally. Dynamical and statistical downscaling models are often used to get…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Bipin Kumar , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manmeet Singh , Niraj Chaudhari , Karthik Kodari , Amit Barve

Continental heatwaves can dramatically impact ecosystems and societies, e.g., by leading to excess mortality, wildfires, and harvest failures. With a warming climate, their impacts potentially intensify globally, but the Indian subcontinent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-23 Abhirup Banerjee , Armin Koehl , Frank Lunkeit , Detlef Stammer
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