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This study proposes a temporal modeling framework with a counterfactual policy-simulation layer for student dropout in higher education, using LMS engagement data and administrative withdrawal records. Dropout is operationalized as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Rafael da Silva , Jeff Eicher , Gregory Longo

The integration of artificial intelligence into clinical workflows requires reliable and robust models. Among the main features of robustness is repeatability. Much attention is given to classification performance without assessing the…

Social integration theories suggest that students embedded in supportive peer networks are less likely to drop out. In learning analytics, this has motivated the use of social network analysis (SNA) from institutional co-enrolment data to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-25 H. R. Paz

Despite continued efforts to improve classification accuracy, it has been reported that offline accuracy is a poor indicator of the usability of pattern recognition-based myoelectric control. One potential source of this disparity is the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-15 Shriram Tallam Puranam Raghu , Dawn T. MacIsaac , Erik J. Scheme

Dropout is attracting intensive research interest in deep learning as an efficient approach to prevent overfitting. Recently incorporating structural information when deciding which units to drop out produced promising results comparing to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Xiaoli Li

The success of the machine learning field has reliably depended on training on large datasets. While effective, this trend comes at an extraordinary cost. This is due to two deeply intertwined factors: the size of models and the size of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Shriram M Sathiyanarayanan , Xinyue Hao , Shihao Hou , Yang Lu , Laura Sevilla-Lara , Anurag Arnab , Shreyank N Gowda

The accuracy of machine learning systems is a widely studied research topic. Established techniques such as cross-validation predict the accuracy on unseen data of the classifier produced by applying a given learning method to a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-06 J. E. Smith , P. Caleb-Solly , M. A. Tahir , D. Sannen , H. van-Brussel

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made great strides in pushing the state-of-the-art in several challenging domains. Recent studies reveal that they are prone to making overconfident predictions. This greatly reduces the overall trust in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Vinith Kugathasan , Muhammad Haris Khan

Learners regularly abandon online coding tutorials when they get bored or frustrated, but there are few techniques for anticipating this abandonment to intervene. In this paper, we examine the feasibility of predicting abandonment with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 An Yan , Michael J. Lee , Andrew J. Ko

Dropout has been demonstrated as a simple and effective module to not only regularize the training process of deep neural networks, but also provide the uncertainty estimation for prediction. However, the quality of uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Xinjie Fan , Shujian Zhang , Korawat Tanwisuth , Xiaoning Qian , Mingyuan Zhou

This study demonstrates that double descent can be mitigated by adding a dropout layer adjacent to the fully connected linear layer. The unexpected double-descent phenomenon garnered substantial attention in recent years, resulting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Tian-Le Yang , Joe Suzuki

Neural networks are ubiquitous in applied machine learning for education. Their pervasive success in predictive performance comes alongside a severe weakness, the lack of explainability of their decisions, especially relevant in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Vinitra Swamy , Bahar Radmehr , Natasa Krco , Mirko Marras , Tanja Käser

Dropout and DropConnect are well-known techniques that apply a consistent drop rate to randomly deactivate neurons or edges in a neural network layer during training. This paper introduces a novel methodology that assigns dynamic drop rates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Yuan-Chih Yang , Hung-Hsuan Chen

Deep neural networks have become the default choice for many of the machine learning tasks such as classification and regression. Dropout, a method commonly used to improve the convergence of deep neural networks, generates an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Tal Kachman , Michal Moshkovitz , Michal Rosen-Zvi

Among Bayesian methods, Monte-Carlo dropout provides principled tools for evaluating the epistemic uncertainty of neural networks. Its popularity recently led to seminal works that proposed activating the dropout layers only during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Emanuele Ledda , Giorgio Fumera , Fabio Roli

We examine the process of engineering features for developing models that improve our understanding of learners' online behavior in MOOCs. Because feature engineering relies so heavily on human insight, we argue that extra effort should be…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-07-22 Kalyan Veeramachaneni , Una-May O'Reilly , Colin Taylor

The increasing popularity of e-learning has created demand for improving online education through techniques such as predictive analytics and content recommendations. In this paper, we study learner outcome predictions, i.e., predictions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Yuwei Tu , Weiyu Chen , Christopher G. Brinton

Dropout has been witnessed with great success in training deep neural networks by independently zeroing out the outputs of neurons at random. It has also received a surge of interest for shallow learning, e.g., logistic regression. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Zhe Li , Boqing Gong , Tianbao Yang

With an expansive and ubiquitously available gold mine of educational data, Massive Open Online courses (MOOCs) have become the an important foci of learning analytics research. In this paper, we investigate potential reasons as to why are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-01-22 Tanmay Sinha

Procrastination, the irrational delay of tasks, is a common occurrence in online learning. Potential negative consequences include higher risk of drop-outs, increased stress, and reduced mood. Due to the rise of learning management systems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-01 Christof Imhof , Ioan-Sorin Comsa , Martin Hlosta , Behnam Parsaeifard , Ivan Moser , Per Bergamin