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Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) are attracting the attention of people all over the world. Regardless the platform, numbers of registrants for online courses are impressive but in the same time, completion rates are disappointing.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Tom Rolandus Hagedoorn , Gerasimos Spanakis

The high level of attrition and low rate of certification in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) has prompted a great deal of research. Prior researchers have focused on predicting dropout based upon behavioral features such as student…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Niki Gitinabard , Farzaneh Khoshnevisan , Collin F. Lynch , Elle Yuan Wang

While Massive Open Online Course (MOOCs) platforms provide knowledge in a new and unique way, the very high number of dropouts is a significant drawback. Several features are considered to contribute towards learner attrition or lack of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Ahmed Alamri , Mohammad Alshehri , Alexandra I. Cristea , Filipe D. Pereira , Elaine Oliveira , Lei Shi , Craig Stewart

The field of learning analytics needs to adopt a more rigorous approach for predictive model evaluation that matches the complex practice of model-building. In this work, we present a procedure to statistically test hypotheses about model…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-19 Josh Gardner , Christopher Brooks

Understanding why students stopout will help in understanding how students learn in MOOCs. In this report, part of a 3 unit compendium, we describe how we build accurate predictive models of MOOC student stopout. We document a scalable,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-08-15 Colin Taylor , Kalyan Veeramachaneni , Una-May O'Reilly

Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) have become popular platforms for online learning. While MOOCs enable students to study at their own pace, this flexibility makes it easy for students to drop out of class. In this paper, our goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Byungsoo Jeon , Namyong Park , Seojin Bang

Graduation and dropout rates have always been a serious consideration for educational institutions and students. High dropout rates negatively impact both the lives of individual students and institutions. To address this problem, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Sean Kim , Eliot Yoo , Samuel Kim

Real-time and open online course resources of MOOCs have attracted a large number of learners in recent years. However, many new questions were emerging about the high dropout rate of learners. For MOOCs platform, predicting the learning…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Zhemin Liu , Feng Xiong , Kaifa Zou , Hongzhi Wang

MOOCs offer free and open access to a wide audience, but completion rates remain low, often due to a lack of personalized content. To address this issue, it is essential to predict learner performance in order to provide tailored feedback.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Anass El Ayady , Maxime Devanne , Germain Forestier , Nour El Mawas

In a Massive Open Online Course (MOOC), predictive models of student behavior can support multiple aspects of learning, including instructor feedback and timely intervention. Ongoing courses, when the student outcomes are yet unknown, must…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-19 Mucong Ding , Yanbang Wang , Erik Hemberg , Una-May O'Reilly

With the development of MOOCs massive open online courses, increasingly more subjects can be studied online. Researchers currently show growing interest in the field of MOOCs, including dropout prediction, cheating detection and achievement…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Shaojie Qu , Kan Li , Zheyi Fan , Sisi Wu , Xinyi Liu , Zhiguo Huang

Millions of people have enrolled and enrol (especially in the Covid-19 pandemic world) in MOOCs. However, the retention rate of learners is notoriously low. The majority of the research work on this issue focuses on predicting the dropout…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Ahmed Alamri , Zhongtian Sun , Alexandra I. Cristea , Gautham Senthilnathan , Lei Shi , Craig Stewart

Despite the increasing popularity of massive open online courses (MOOCs), many suffer from high dropout and low success rates. Early prediction of student success for targeted intervention is therefore essential to ensure no student is left…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Vinitra Swamy , Mirko Marras , Tanja Käser

Transformer-based language models are widely deployed for reasoning, yet their behavior under inference-time stochasticity remains underexplored. While dropout is common during training, its inference-time effects via Monte Carlo sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Antônio Junior Alves Caiado , Michael Hahsler

Interactive online learning environments, represented by Massive AI-empowered Courses (MAIC), leverage LLM-driven multi-agent systems to transform passive MOOCs into dynamic, text-based platforms, enhancing interactivity through LLMs. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yuanchun Wang , Yiyang Fu , Jifan Yu , Daniel Zhang-Li , Zheyuan Zhang , Joy Lim Jia Yin , Yucheng Wang , Peng Zhou , Jing Zhang , Huiqin Liu

Online learning and MOOCs have become increasingly popular in recent years, and the trend will continue, given the technology boom. There is a dire need to observe learners' behavior in these online courses, similar to what instructors do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Aditya Panwar , Ashwin T S , Ramkumar Rajendran , Kavi Arya

To increase efficacy in traditional classroom courses as well as in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs), automated systems supporting the instructor are needed. One important problem is to automatically detect students that are going to do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-21 Yannick Meier , Jie Xu , Onur Atan , Mihaela van der Schaar

Predictive models of student success in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) are a critical component of effective content personalization and adaptive interventions. In this article we review the state of the art in predictive models of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Josh Gardner , Christopher Brooks

Overfitting is a common problem in machine learning, which means the model too closely fits the training data while performing poorly in the test data. Among various methods of coping with overfitting, dropout is one of the representative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Yangkun Li , Weizhi Ma , Chong Chen , Min Zhang , Yiqun Liu , Shaoping Ma , Yuekui Yang

Research on Knowledge Tracing (KT) models traditionally focuses on improving predictive accuracy. However, responsible real-world deployment requires models to know when to defer uncertain predictions to a human teacher. We introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Joshua Mitton , Prarthana Bhattacharyya , Ralph Abboud , Simon Woodhead
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