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Data-driven decision making frequently relies on predicting counterfactual outcomes. In practice, researchers commonly train counterfactual prediction models on a source dataset to inform decisions on a possibly separate target population.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Keith Barnatchez , Kevin P. Josey , Rachel C. Nethery , Giovanni Parmigiani

Classical asymptotic theory for statistical inference usually involves calibrating a statistic by fixing the dimension $d$ while letting the sample size $n$ increase to infinity. Recently, much effort has been dedicated towards…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Ilmun Kim , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper presents uniform convergence rates for kernel regression estimators, in the setting of a structural nonlinear cointegrating regression model. We generalise the existing literature in three ways. First, the domain to which these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-08 James A. Duffy

While the Large Language Models (LLMs) dominate a majority of language understanding tasks, previous work shows that some of these results are supported by modelling spurious correlations of training datasets. Authors commonly assess model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Lukáš Mikula , Michal Štefánik , Marek Petrovič , Petr Sojka

Precision matrix estimation is a cornerstone concept in statistics, economics, and finance. Despite advances in recent years, estimation methods that are simultaneously (i) dense, (ii) consistent, and (iii) model-free are lacking. While…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-05 Mehmet Caner Agostino Capponi Mihailo Stojnic

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Testing procedures for assessing specific parametric model forms, or for checking the plausibility of simplifying assumptions, play a central role in the mathematical treatment of the uncertain. No certain answers are obtained by testing…

Tens of thousands of simultaneous hypothesis tests are routinely performed in genomic studies to identify differentially expressed genes. However, due to unmeasured confounders, many standard statistical approaches may be substantially…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Jin-Hong Du , Larry Wasserman , Kathryn Roeder

We study the problem of treatment effect estimation in randomized experiments with high-dimensional covariate information, and show that essentially any risk-consistent regression adjustment can be used to obtain efficient estimates of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-08 Stefan Wager , Wenfei Du , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani

This study examines the optimal selections of bandwidth and semi-metric for a functional partial linear model. Our proposed method begins by estimating the unknown error density using a kernel density estimator of residuals, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Han Lin Shang

We report on an empirical study of the main strategies for quantile regression in the context of stochastic computer experiments. To ensure adequate diversity, six metamodels are presented, divided into three categories based on order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Léonard Torossian , Victor Picheny , Robert Faivre , Aurélien Garivier

In many applications, linear models fit the data poorly. This article studies an appealing alternative, the generalized regression model. This model only assumes that there exists an unknown monotonically increasing link function connecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Fang Han , Hongkai Ji , Zhicheng Ji , Honglang Wang

We propose dimension reduction methods for sparse, high-dimensional multivariate response regression models. Both the number of responses and that of the predictors may exceed the sample size. Sometimes viewed as complementary, predictor…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Florentina Bunea , Yiyuan She , Marten H. Wegkamp

This paper studies hypothesis testing and parameter estimation in the context of the divide and conquer algorithm. In a unified likelihood based framework, we propose new test statistics and point estimators obtained by aggregating various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Heather Battey , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Junwei Lu , Ziwei Zhu

We propose a "small-uniform" statistic for the inference of the functional PCA estimator in a functional linear regression model. The literature has shown two extreme behaviors: on the one hand, the FPCA estimator does not converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

For a high-dimensional linear model with a finite number of covariates measured with error, we study statistical inference on the parameters associated with the error-prone covariates, and propose a new corrected decorrelated score test and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-29 Mengyan Li , Runze Li , Yanyuan Ma

Causal inference starts with a simple idea: compare groups that differ by treatment, not much else. Traditionally, similar groups are constructed using only observed covariates; however, it remains a long-standing challenge to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Ying Jin , José Zubizarreta

This article develops a framework for testing general hypothesis in high-dimensional models where the number of variables may far exceed the number of observations. Existing literature has considered less than a handful of hypotheses, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic

In this paper, we consider statistical inference with generalized linear models in high dimensions under a longitudinal clustered data framework. Specifically, we propose a de-sparsified version of an initial Dantzig-type regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Nathan Huey