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We characterize the statistical bootstrap for the estimation of information-theoretic quantities from data, with particular reference to its use in the study of large-scale social phenomena. Our methods allow one to preserve, approximately,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-06 Simon DeDeo , Robert X. D. Hawkins , Sara Klingenstein , Tim Hitchcock

Bootstrap smoothed (bagged) estimators have been proposed as an improvement on estimators found after preliminary data-based model selection. Efron, 2014, derived a widely applicable formula for a delta method approximation to the standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-11 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

A desirable property of an autocovariance estimator is to be robust to the presence of additive outliers. It is well-known that the sample autocovariance, being based on moments, does not have this property. Hence, the use of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-24 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen

We consider the problem of quantifying uncertainty for the estimation error of the leading eigenvector from Oja's algorithm for streaming principal component analysis, where the data are generated IID from some unknown distribution. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Robert Lunde , Purnamrita Sarkar , Rachel Ward

Doubly robust estimators have gained popularity in the field of causal inference due to their ability to provide consistent point estimates when either an outcome or exposure model is correctly specified. However, for nonrandomized…

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Student's $t$ statistic is finding applications today that were never envisaged when it was introduced more than a century ago. Many of these applications rely on properties, for example robustness against heavy tailed sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-25 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Jiashun Jin

GARCH models are useful tools in the investigation of phenomena, where volatility changes are prominent features, like most financial data. The parameter estimation via quasi maximum likelihood (QMLE) and its properties are by now well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-07 László Varga , András Zempléni

Spectral analysis plays a crucial role in high-dimensional statistics, where determining the asymptotic distribution of various spectral statistics remains a challenging task. Due to the difficulties of deriving the analytic form, recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Guoyu Zhang , Dandan Jiang , Fang Yao

An algorithm is described that enables efficient deterministic approximate computation of the bootstrap distribution for any linear bootstrap method $T_n^*$, alleviating the need for repeated resampling from observations (resp.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Thomas Pitschel

Bootstrap methods are increasingly accepted as one of the common approaches in constructing confidence intervals in bibliometric studies. Typical bootstrap methods assume that the statistical population is infinite. When the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-17 Tina Nane , Kasper Kooijman

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Bootstrap is a principled and powerful frequentist statistical tool for uncertainty quantification. Unfortunately, standard bootstrap methods are computationally intensive due to the need of drawing a large i.i.d. bootstrap sample to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Mao Ye , Qiang Liu

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets---which are increasingly prevalent---the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-29 Ariel Kleiner , Ameet Talwalkar , Purnamrita Sarkar , Michael I. Jordan

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

The bootstrap procedure has emerged as a general framework to construct prediction intervals for future observations in autoregressive time series models. Such models with outlying data points are standard in real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

How can we discern whether the covariance operator of a stochastic process is of reduced rank, and if so, what its precise rank is? And how can we do so at a given level of confidence? This question is central to a great deal of methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Anirvan Chakraborty , Victor M. Panaretos

Residual-based analysis is generally considered a cornerstone of statistical methodology. For a special case of indirect regression, we investigate the residual-based empirical distribution function and provide a uniform expansion of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Nicolai Bissantz , Justin Chown , Holger Dette