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We introduce a new approach for comparing the predictive accuracy of two nested models that bypasses the difficulties caused by the degeneracy of the asymptotic variance of forecast error loss differentials used in the construction of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

Sparse estimation methods capable of tolerating outliers have been broadly investigated in the last decade. We contribute to this research considering high-dimensional regression problems contaminated by multiple mean-shift outliers which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Luca Insolia , Ana Kenney , Francesca Chiaromonte , Giovanni Felici

We present a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach to estimate a robustified regression plane in a linear regression setting, when the observed samples are potentially contaminated with adversarially corrupted outliers. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-14 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

To conduct regression analysis for data contaminated with outliers, many approaches have been proposed for simultaneous outlier detection and robust regression, so is the approach proposed in this manuscript. This new approach is called…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-25 Xiaoli Gao , Yixin Fang

Real-world network applications must cope with failing nodes, malicious attacks, or, somehow, nodes facing corrupted data --- classified as outliers. One enabling application is the geographic localization of the network nodes. However,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Cláudia Soares , João Gomes

Central moments and cumulants are often employed to characterize the distribution of data. The skewness and kurtosis are particularly useful for the detection of outliers, the assessment of departures from normally distributed data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-03-24 Lorenzo Rimoldini

Linear inverse problems are ubiquitous. Often the measurements do not follow a Gaussian distribution. Additionally, a model matrix with a large condition number can complicate the problem further by making it ill-posed. In this case, the…

A Gaussian measurement error assumption, i.e., an assumption that the data are observed up to Gaussian noise, can bias any parameter estimation in the presence of outliers. A heavy tailed error assumption based on Student's t distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-30 Hyungsuk Tak , Justin A. Ellis , Sujit K. Ghosh

Nonparametric methods are widely applicable to statistical inference problems, since they rely on a few modeling assumptions. In this context, the fresh look advocated here permeates benefits from variable selection and compressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Gonzalo Mateos , Georgios B. Giannakis

In real world, our datasets often contain outliers. Moreover, the outliers can seriously affect the final machine learning result. Most existing algorithms for handling outliers take high time complexities (e.g. quadratic or cubic…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Hu Ding , Zixiu Wang

Robustly determining the optimal number of clusters in a data set is an essential factor in a wide range of applications. Cluster enumeration becomes challenging when the true underlying structure in the observed data is corrupted by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Christian A. Schroth , Michael Muma

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

The Bayesian lasso is well-known as a Bayesian alternative for Lasso. Although the advantage of the Bayesian lasso is capable of full probabilistic uncertain quantification for parameters, the corresponding posterior distribution can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Jun Kawakami , Shintaro Hashimoto

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

Robust Bayesian analysis has been mainly devoted to detecting and measuring robustness w.r.t. the prior distribution. Many contributions in the literature aim to define suitable classes of priors which allow the computation of variations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Antonio Di Noia , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Antonietta Mira

Probabilistic models often use neural networks to control their predictive uncertainty. However, when making out-of-distribution (OOD)} predictions, the often-uncontrollable extrapolation properties of neural networks yield poor uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Pierre Segonne , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Søren Hauberg

In practical data analysis under noisy environment, it is common to first use robust methods to identify outliers, and then to conduct further analysis after removing the outliers. In this paper, we consider statistical inference of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-04 Toshiaki Tsukurimichi , Yu Inatsu , Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution $P$ of $n$ independent random variables within the Bayes paradigm from a non-asymptotic point of view. Assuming that $P$ admits some density $s$ with respect to a given reference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé
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