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Problems arise when using reward functions to capture dependencies between sequential time-constrained goal states because the state-space must be prohibitively expanded to accommodate a history of successfully achieved sub-goals. Also,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-13 Thomas J. Ringstrom , Paul R. Schrater

People often deviate from expected utility theory when making risky and intertemporal choices. While the effects of probabilistic risk and time delay have been extensively studied in isolation, their interplay and underlying theoretical…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-10 Ho Ka Chan , Taro Toyoizumi

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We show that under local detailed balance the expected entropy production rate is always bounded in terms of the dynamical activity. The activity refers to the time-symmetric contribution in the action functional for path-space…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-25 Christian Maes

This communication presents a longitudinal model-free control approach for computing the wheel torque command to be applied on a vehicle. This setting enables us to overcome the problem of unknown vehicle parameters for generating a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-06 Philip Polack , Brigitte d'Andréa-Novel , Michel Fliess , Arnaud de la Fortelle , Lghani Menhour

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F, P; R^d)$ with image space in the power set of $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d)$.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-27 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

The limit of small entropy production is reached in relaxing systems long after preparation, and in stationary driven systems in the limit of small driving power. Surprisingly, for extended systems this limit is not in general the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Leticia F. Cugliandolo , Jorge Kurchan

In this paper, we provide non-averaged and transient performance guarantees for recently developed, tube-based robust economic model predictive control (MPC) schemes. In particular, we consider both tube-based MPC schemes with and without…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Christian Klöppelt , Lukas Schwenkel , Frank Allgöwer , Matthias A. Müller

This work explores the implications of assuming time symmetry and applying bridge-type, time-symmetric temporal boundary conditions to deterministic laws of nature with random components. The analysis, drawing on the works of Kolmogorov and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-23 A. Y. Klimenko

This paper concerns the risk-aware control of stochastic systems with temporal logic specifications dynamically assigned during runtime. Conventional risk-aware control typically assumes that all specifications are predefined and remain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-01 Maico H. W. Engelaar , Zengjie Zhang , Mircea Lazar , Sofie Haesaert

We propose a unified framework to study policy evaluation (PE) and the associated temporal difference (TD) methods for reinforcement learning in continuous time and space. We show that PE is equivalent to maintaining the martingale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

This paper studies relations among axioms on individuals' intertemporal choices under risk. The focus is on Risk Averse over Time Lotteries (RATL), meaning that a fixed prize is preferred to a lottery with the same monetary prize but a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-07 Minghao Pan

We consider portfolio selection when decisions based on a dynamic risk measure are affected by the use of a moving horizon, and the possible inconsistencies that this creates. By giving a formal treatment of time consistency which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott

Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Kaiqun Fu , Taoran Ji , Liang Zhao , Chang-Tien Lu

In this paper we consider stopping problems with partial observation under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. Our aim is to maximize the certainty equivalent of the stopping…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-29 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

In this paper we consider discrete and continuous time risk sensitive optimal stopping problem. Using suitable properties of the underlying Feller-Markov process we prove continuity of the optimal stopping value function and provide formula…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

We consider a competitive market with risk-averse participants. We assume that agents' risks are measured by coherent risk measures introduced by Artzner et al. (1999). Fundamental theorems of welfare economics have long established the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Iman Khajepour , Geoffrey Pritchard , Danny Ralph , Golbon Zakeri

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

Metric Temporal Logic (MTL) and Timed Propositional Temporal Logic (TPTL) extend Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) for real-time constraints, with MTL using time-bounded modalities and TPTL employing freeze quantifiers. Satisfiability for both is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Shankara Narayanan Krishna , Khushraj Madnani , Agnipratim Nag , Paritosh Pandya