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Since the cost of installing and maintaining sensors is usually high, sensor locations are always strategically selected. For those aiming at inferring certain quantities of interest (QoI), it is desirable to explore the dependency between…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Asif Chowdhury , Xiaofan Wang , Gabriel Terejanu

This paper proposes a novel method for testing observability in Gaussian models using discrete density approximations (deterministic samples) of (multivariate) Gaussians. Our notion of observability is defined by the existence of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-19 Ariane Hanebeck , Claudia Czado

In this work we develop a Hessian-based sampling method for the construction of goal-oriented reduced order models with high-dimensional parameter inputs. Model reduction is known very challenging for high-dimensional parametric problems…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

We propose optimal dimensionality reduction techniques for the solution of goal-oriented linear-Gaussian inverse problems, where the quantity of interest (QoI) is a function of the inversion parameters. These approximations are suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Alessio Spantini , Tiangang Cui , Karen Willcox , Luis Tenorio , Youssef Marzouk

A predictive Bayesian model selection approach is presented to discriminate coupled models used to predict an unobserved quantity of interest (QoI). The need for accurate predictions arises in a variety of critical applications such as…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-06 Gabriel Terejanu , Todd Oliver , Chris Simmons

With flexible modeling software - such as the probabilistic programming language Stan - growing in popularity, quantities of interest (QOIs) calculated post-estimation are increasingly desired and customly implemented, both by statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-21 Holger Sennhenn-Reulen

Forward simulation-based uncertainty quantification that studies the distribution of quantities of interest (QoI) is a crucial component for computationally robust engineering design and prediction. There is a large body of literature…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-07 Ruijian Han , Boris Kramer , Dongjin Lee , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu

Approximate inference in probability models is a fundamental task in machine learning. Approximate inference provides powerful tools to Bayesian reasoning, decision making, and Bayesian deep learning. The main goal is to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jun Han

Developing efficient solutions for inference problems in intelligent sensor networks is crucial for the next generation of location, tracking, and mapping services. This paper develops a scalable distributed probabilistic inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Parth Paritosh , Nikolay Atanasov , Sonia Martinez

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Approximating complex probability densities is a core problem in modern statistics. In this paper, we introduce the concept of Variational Inference (VI), a popular method in machine learning that uses optimization techniques to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Ankush Ganguly , Samuel W. F. Earp

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Dynamical systems arise in a wide variety of mathematical models from science and engineering. A common challenge is to quantify uncertainties on model inputs (parameters) that correspond to a quantitative characterization of uncertainties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-19 Steven Mattis , Kyle Robert Steffen , Troy Butler , Clint N. Dawson , Donald Estep

Inference is the task of drawing conclusions about unobserved variables given observations of related variables. Applications range from identifying diseases from symptoms to classifying economic regimes from price movements. Unfortunately,…

Multifidelity methods are widely used for estimating quantities of interest (QoI) in computational science by employing numerical simulations of differing costs and accuracies. Many methods approximate numerical-valued statistics that…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-02 Yiming Xu , Akil Narayan

This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

The machine learning community has recently put effort into quantized or low-precision arithmetics to scale large models. This paper proposes performing probabilistic inference in the quantized, discrete parameter space created by these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aleksanteri Sladek , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin

In this paper, a quantitative measure of partial observability is defined for PDEs. The quantity is proved to be consistent if the PDE is approximated using well-posed approximation schemes. A first order approximation of an unobservability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Wei Kang , Liang Xu , Francis X. Giraldo

This note considers the problem of statistical inference of the parameters of the input process to a queue from periodic workload observations. The main focus is the open problem of constructing statistically efficient estimators for a…

Performance · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Liron Ravner
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