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We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson

The Recursive KalmanNet, recently introduced by the authors, is a recurrent neural network guided by a Kalman filter, capable of estimating the state variables and error covariance of stochastic dynamic systems from noisy measurements,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Cyril Falcon , Hassan Mortada , Mathéo Clavaud , Jean-Philippe Michel

In this letter, a new filtering technique to solve a nonlinear state estimation problem has been developed. It is well known that for a nonlinear system, the prior and posterior probability density functions (pdf) are non-Gaussian in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

We propose a novel deep neural network (DNN) based approximation architecture to learn estimates of measurements. We detail an algorithm that enables training of the DNN. The DNN estimator only uses measurements, if and when they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Shivangi Agarwal , Sanjit K. Kaul , Saket Anand , P. B. Sujit

This paper introduces new techniques for using convex optimization to fit input-output data to a class of stable nonlinear dynamical models. We present an algorithm that guarantees consistent estimates of models in this class when a small…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a noisy linear dynamical system when an unknown subset of sensors is arbitrarily corrupted by an adversary. We propose a secure state estimation algorithm, and derive (optimal) bounds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Shaunak Mishra , Yasser Shoukry , Nikhil Karamchandani , Suhas Diggavi , Paulo Tabuada

The Derivative-free nonlinear Kalman Filter is proposed for state estimation and fault diagnosis in distributed parameter systems and particularly in dynamical systems described by partial differential equations of the nonlinear wave type.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Gerasimos G. Rigatos

Deep learning is revolutionizing weather forecasting, with new data-driven models achieving accuracy on par with operational physical models for medium-term predictions. However, these models often lack interpretability, making their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 David Millard , Arielle Carr , Stéphane Gaudreault

We propose a noise-robust learning framework for the Koopman operator of nonlinear dynamical systems, with guaranteed long-term stability and improved model performance for better model-based predictive control tasks. Unlike some existing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Shahriar Akbar Sakib , Shaowu Pan

The extended Kalman filter is perhaps the most standard tool to estimate in real time the state of a dynamical system from noisy measurements of some function of the system, with extensive practical applications (such as position tracking…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Yann Ollivier

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

Nonlinear state-space identification for dynamical systems is most often performed by minimizing the simulation error to reduce the effect of model errors. This optimization problem becomes computationally expensive for large datasets.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Gerben Beintema , Roland Toth , Maarten Schoukens

Kalman Filters (KF) are fundamental to real-time state estimation applications, including radar-based tracking systems used in modern driver assistance and safety technologies. In a linear dynamical system with Gaussian noise distributions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Arian Mehrfard , Bharanidhar Duraisamy , Stefan Haag , Florian Geiss

We introduce a nonlinear stochastic model reduction technique for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems that have a low-dimensional invariant effective manifold with slow dynamics, and high-dimensional, large fast modes. Given only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Felix X. -F. Ye , Sichen Yang , Mauro Maggioni

Linear dynamical systems are the foundational statistical model upon which control theory is built. Both the celebrated Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator require knowledge of the system dynamics to provide analytic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Ainesh Bakshi , Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra , Morris Yau

Koopman analysis provides a general framework from which to analyze a nonlinear dynamical system in terms of a linear operator acting on an infinite-dimensional observable space. This theoretical framework provides a rigorous underpinning…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Dan Wilson

This paper considers the problem of fitting the parameters of a Kalman smoother to data. We formulate the Kalman smoothing problem with missing measurements as a constrained least squares problem and provide an efficient method to solve it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Shane Barratt , Stephen Boyd

This paper studies the distributed state estimation in sensor network, where $m$ sensors are deployed to infer the $n$-dimensional state of a linear time-invariant (LTI) Gaussian system. By a lossless decomposition of optimal steady-state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-22 Jiaqi Yan , Xu Yang , Yilin Mo , Keyou You

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Jonathan R. Stroud , Christopher K. Wikle
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