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Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Many problems in science and engineering require making predictions based on few observations. To build a robust predictive model, these sparse data may need to be augmented with simulated data, especially when the design space is…

The statistical regression technique is an extraordinarily essential data fitting tool to explore the potential possible generation mechanism of the random phenomenon. Therefore, the model selection or the variable selection is becoming…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-25 Yue Su , Patrick Kandege Mwanakatwe

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Haozhen Wu

Model-based testing (MBT) provides an automated approach for finding discrepancies between software models and their implementation. If we want to incorporate MBT into the fast and iterative software development process that is Continuous…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-05-02 P. H. M. van Spaendonck

There has been an intense development on the estimation of a sparse regression coefficient vector in statistics, machine learning and related fields. In this paper, we focus on the Bayesian approach to this problem, where sparsity is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-25 Xichen Huang , Jin Wang , Feng Liang

In this paper, we revisit Stochastic Continuous Submodular Maximization in both offline and online settings, which can benefit wide applications in machine learning and operations research areas. We present a boosting framework covering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Qixin Zhang , Zengde Deng , Zaiyi Chen , Haoyuan Hu , Yu Yang

The theory of boosting provides a computational framework for aggregating approximate weak learning algorithms, which perform marginally better than a random predictor, into an accurate strong learner. In the realizable case, the success of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Udaya Ghai , Karan Singh

We introduce a symmetric random scan Gibbs sampler for scalable Bayesian variable selection that eliminates storage of the full cross-product matrix by computing required quantities on-the-fly. Data-informed proposal weights, constructed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Mengta Chung

We present Natural Gradient Boosting (NGBoost), an algorithm for generic probabilistic prediction via gradient boosting. Typical regression models return a point estimate, conditional on covariates, but probabilistic regression models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Tony Duan , Anand Avati , Daisy Yi Ding , Khanh K. Thai , Sanjay Basu , Andrew Y. Ng , Alejandro Schuler

We propose a novel class of flexible latent-state time series regression models which we call Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale and shape. In contrast to conventional Markov-switching regression models, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-18 Timo Adam , Andreas Mayr , Thomas Kneib

Joint Models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have gained a lot of attention in the last few years as they are a helpful technique to approach common a data structure in clinical studies where longitudinal outcomes are recorded…

In many applied sciences a popular analysis strategy for high-dimensional data is to fit many multivariate generalized linear models in parallel. This paper presents a novel approach to address the resulting multiple testing problem by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Riccardo De Santis , Jelle J. Goeman , Samuel Davenport , Jesse Hemerik , Livio Finos

Inference for models with recursively defined likelihoods is computationally demanding, limiting scalability to large datasets. We propose a stabilised weighted subsampling methodology for accelerated inference based on an unbiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Matias Quiroz , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Zixuan Wang , Thomas Goodwin

Gradient boosting machines (GBMs) based on decision trees consistently demonstrate state-of-the-art results on regression and classification tasks with tabular data, often outperforming deep neural networks. However, these models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tristan Cinquin , Tammo Rukat , Philipp Schmidt , Martin Wistuba , Artur Bekasov

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

The mixture models have become widely used in clustering, given its probabilistic framework in which its based, however, for modern databases that are characterized by their large size, these models behave disappointingly in setting out the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Abdelghafour Talibi , Boujemâa Achchab , Rafik Lasri

This paper studies model selection consistency for high dimensional sparse regression when data exhibits both cross-sectional and serial dependency. Most commonly-used model selection methods fail to consistently recover the true model when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Ke , Kaizheng Wang

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) has been shown to provide a flexible framework for decision making under uncertainty and statistical estimation. For example, recent works in DRO have shown that popular statistical estimators can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-21 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Fan Zhang , Zhangyi Hu

Large Reasoning Models have demonstrated remarkable performance with the advancement of test-time scaling techniques, which enhances prediction accuracy by generating multiple candidate responses and selecting the most reliable answer.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Xizhong Yang , Haotian Zhang , Huiming Wang , Mofei Song