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We propose a nonparametric test of independence, termed optHSIC, between a covariate and a right-censored lifetime. Because the presence of censoring creates a challenge in applying the standard permutation-based testing approaches, we use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 David Rindt , Dino Sejdinovic , David Steinsaltz

Inferring causal relationships from dynamical systems is the central interest of many scientific inquiries. Conditional local independence, which describes whether the evolution of one process is influenced by another process given…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-09 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yizhou Wang

A popular approach for testing if two univariate random variables are statistically independent consists of partitioning the sample space into bins, and evaluating a test statistic on the binned data. The partition size matters, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-28 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller , Shachar Kaufman , Barak Brill , Malka Gorfine

Kernel regression is an essential and ubiquitous tool for non-parametric data analysis, particularly popular among time series and spatial data. However, the central operation which is performed many times, evaluating a kernel on the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-01 Yan Zheng , Jeff M. Phillips

We consider the problem of learning causal directed acyclic graphs from an observational joint distribution. One can use these graphs to predict the outcome of interventional experiments, from which data are often not available. We show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters , Joris Mooij , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

We propose consistent nonparametric tests of conditional independence for time series data. Our methods are motivated from the difference between joint conditional cumulative distribution function (CDF) and the product of conditional CDFs.…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-12 Xiaojun Song , Haoyu Wei

Testing whether a variable of interest affects the outcome is one of the most fundamental problem in statistics and is often the main scientific question of interest. To tackle this problem, the conditional randomization test (CRT) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Dae Woong Ham , Jiaze Qiu

We propose the Sobolev Independence Criterion (SIC), an interpretable dependency measure between a high dimensional random variable X and a response variable Y . SIC decomposes to the sum of feature importance scores and hence can be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Youssef Mroueh , Tom Sercu , Mattia Rigotti , Inkit Padhi , Cicero Dos Santos

The primary outcome of Randomized clinical Trials (RCTs) are typically dichotomous, continuous, multivariate continuous, or time-to-event. However, what if this outcome is unstructured, e.g., a list of variables of mixed types, longitudinal…

We target the problem of accuracy and robustness in causal inference from finite data sets. Some state-of-the-art algorithms produce clear output complete with solid theoretical guarantees but are susceptible to propagating erroneous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

It is commonplace to encounter heterogeneous or nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process changes across domains or over time. Such a distribution shift feature presents both challenges and opportunities for causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Biwei Huang , Kun Zhang , Jiji Zhang , Joseph Ramsey , Ruben Sanchez-Romero , Clark Glymour , Bernhard Schölkopf

Uncertainty quantification is necessary for developers, physicians, and regulatory agencies to build trust in machine learning predictors and improve patient care. Beyond measuring uncertainty, it is crucial to express it in clinically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Jacopo Teneggi , J Webster Stayman , Jeremias Sulam

Large-scale testing in modern applications such as genomics often entails a trade-off between accuracy and speed: multiplicity corrections push cutoffs deep into the tails, where normal approximations can fail, while resampling is accurate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Ziang Niu , Jyotishka Ray Choudhury , Eugene Katsevich

This paper introduces the sequential CRT, which is a variable selection procedure that combines the conditional randomization test (CRT) and Selective SeqStep+. Valid p-values are constructed via the flexible CRT, which are then ordered and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Shuangning Li , Emmanuel J. Candès

Accurate conditional prediction in the regression setting plays an important role in many real-world problems. Typically, a point prediction often falls short since no attempt is made to quantify the prediction accuracy. Classically, under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

In this article, we consider the problem of testing whether two latent position random graphs are correlated. We propose a test statistic based on the kernel method and introduce the estimation procedure based on the spectral decomposition…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Xiaoyi Wen , Junhui Wang , Liping Zhu

The actual gate performed on, say, a qubit in a quantum computer may depend, not just on the actual laser pulses and voltages we programmed to implement the gate, but on its {\em context} as well. For example, it may depend on what gate has…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-03 Andrzej Veitia , Steven J. van Enk

Developing feature selection algorithms that move beyond a pure correlational to a more causal analysis of observational data is an important problem in the sciences. Several algorithms attempt to do so by discovering the Markov blanket of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-06 Eric V. Strobl , Shyam Visweswaran

Causal graphical models can encode large amounts structural knowledge, both from the background knowledge of domain experts and the structural knowledge discovered from randomized experiments or observational data. However, though we may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Katherine Avery , Chinmay Pendse , David Jensen

Conditionally positive definite (CPD) kernels are defined with respect to a function class $\mathcal{F}$. It is well known that such a kernel $K$ is associated with its native space (defined analogously to an RKHS), which in turn gives rise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Rustem Takhanov , Zhenisbek Assylbekov
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