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We present a hidden Markov model that describes variation in an animal's position associated with varying levels of activity in action potential spike trains of individual place cell neurons. The model incorporates a coarse-graining of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-22 Marc Box , Matt W. Jones , Nick Whiteley

The authors present a cyber-physical systems study on the estimation of driver behavior in autonomous vehicles and vehicle safety systems. Extending upon previous work, the approach described is suitable for the long term estimation and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Vijay Gadepally , Ashok Krishnamurthy

Motivated by high-throughput single-cell cytometry data with applications to vaccine development and immunological research, we consider statistical clustering in large-scale data that contain multiple rare clusters. We propose a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-30 Lin Lin , Jia Li

Analysis of multivariate healthcare time series data is inherently challenging: irregular sampling, noisy and missing values, and heterogeneous patient groups with different dynamics violating exchangeability. In addition, interpretability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Onur Poyraz , Pekka Marttinen

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Recommender systems help users find relevant items of interest based on the past preferences of those users. In many domains, however, the tastes and preferences of users change over time due to a variety of factors and recommender systems…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Farzad Eskandanian , Bamshad Mobasher

Modern Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) are limited in their ability to consider the drivers intention, resulting in unnatural guidance and low customer acceptance. In this research, we focus on a novel data-driven approach to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Robert van Wijk , Andrea Michelle Rios Lazcano , Xabier Carrera Akutain , Barys Shyrokau

I describe a new Markov chain method for sampling from the distribution of the state sequences in a non-linear state space model, given the observation sequence. This method updates all states in the sequence simultaneously using an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

GPS technology is currently easily accessible to researchers, and many animal movement datasets are available. Two of the main features that a model which describes an animal's path can possess are directional persistence and attraction to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-29 Gianluca Mastrantonio

In a variety of online settings involving interaction with end-users it is critical for the systems to adapt to changes in user preferences. User preferences on items tend to change over time due to a variety of factors such as change in…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Farzad Eskandanian , Bamshad Mobasher

Learning and understanding the typical patterns in the daily activities and routines of people from low-level sensory data is an important problem in many application domains such as building smart environments, or providing intelligent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-14 Truyen Tran , Hung Bui , Svetha Venkatesh

In the classical setting, the training of a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) typically relies on a single, sufficiently long observation sequence that can be regarded as representative of the underlying stochastic process. In this context, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Margarita Cabrera-Bean , Josep Vidal , Sergio Fernandez-Bertolin , Albert Roso-Llorach , Concepcion Violan

Time series classification is one of the very popular machine learning tasks. In this paper, we explore the application of Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for time series classification. We distinguish between two modes of HMM application. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Jakub Michał Bilski , Agnieszka Jastrzębska

Language models based on deep neural networks and traditional stochastic modelling have become both highly functional and effective in recent times. In this work, a general survey into the two types of language modelling is conducted. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Larkin Liu , Yu-Chung Lin , Joshua Reid

Brain networks has attracted the interests of many neuroscientists. From functional MRI (fMRI) data, statistical tools have been developed to recover brain networks. However, the dimensionality of whole-brain fMRI, usually in hundreds of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-08 Xi Luo

Bayesian inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs) can be challenging due to the presence of multimodality in the likelihood function, and consequently in the joint posterior distribution, even after correcting for label switching. The…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-01 Marco A. Gallegos-Herrada , Vianey Leos-Barajas , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are a ubiquitous tool to model time series data, and have been widely used in two main tasks of Automatic Music Transcription (AMT): note segmentation, i.e. identifying the played notes after a multi-pitch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-13 D. Cazau , G. Nuel

Recurrent State-space models (RSSMs) are highly expressive models for learning patterns in time series data and system identification. However, these models assume that the dynamics are fixed and unchanging, which is rarely the case in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Vaisakh Shaj , Dieter Buchler , Rohit Sonker , Philipp Becker , Gerhard Neumann

Genetic sequence data are well described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) in which latent states correspond to clusters of similar mutation patterns. Theory from statistical genetics suggests that these HMMs are nonhomogeneous (their…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-03 Lloyd T. Elliott , Yee Whye Teh

In this study, we address the interpretability issue in complex, black-box Machine Learning models applied to sequence data. We introduce the Model-Based tree Hidden Semi-Markov Model (MOB-HSMM), an inherently interpretable model aimed at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Chan Hsu , Wei-Chun Huang , Jun-Ting Wu , Chih-Yuan Li , Yihuang Kang
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