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Monte Carlo integration is a powerful tool for scientific and statistical computation, but faces significant challenges when the integrand is a multi-modal distribution, even when the mode locations are known. This work introduces novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Fei Ding , Shiyuan He , David E. Jones , Xiao-Li Meng

Quantum Monte Carlo approaches such as the diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) method are among the most accurate many-body methods for extended systems. Their scaling makes them well suited for defect calculations in solids. We review the various…

Materials Science · Physics 2014-04-23 William D. Parker , John W. Wilkins , Richard G. Hennig

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

We analyze the convergence of higher order Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) quadratures of solution-functionals to countably-parametric, nonlinear operator equations with distributed uncertain parameters taking values in a separable Banach space $X$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Josef Dick , Quoc T. Le Gia , Christoph Schwab

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method with constant number of walkers, also called Stochastic Reconfiguration as well as Sequential Monte Carlo, is a widely used Monte Carlo methodology for computing the ground-state energy and wave function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Michel Caffarel , Pierre del Moral , Luc de Montella

A precise dynamical characterization of quantum impurity models with multiple interacting orbitals is challenging. In quantum Monte Carlo methods, this is embodied by sign problems. A dynamical sign problem makes it exponentially difficult…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-07-02 Andre Erpenbeck , Thomas Blommel , Lei Zhang , Wei-Ting Lin , Guy Cohen , Emanuel Gull

The design of next-generation alloys through the Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) approach relies on multi-scale computer simulations to provide thermodynamic properties when experiments are difficult to conduct.…

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is pivotal in enhancing the robustness, reliability, and interpretability of Machine Learning (ML) systems for healthcare, optimizing resources and improving patient care. Despite the emergence of ML-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 L. Julián Lechuga López , Shaza Elsharief , Dhiyaa Al Jorf , Firas Darwish , Congbo Ma , Farah E. Shamout

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial for ensuring the reliability of machine learning models deployed in real-world autonomous systems. However, existing approaches typically quantify task-level output prediction uncertainty without…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Luke Chen , Junyao Wang , Trier Mortlock , Pramod Khargonekar , Mohammad Abdullah Al Faruque

A continuous-time path integral Quantum Monte Carlo method using the directed-loop algorithm is developed to simulate the Anderson single-impurity model in the occupation number basis. Although the method suffers from a sign problem at low…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-11-10 Jaebeom Yoo , Shailesh Chandrasekharan , Harold U. Baranger

Monte Carlo particle transport codes are well established on classical hardware and are considered as the reference tool for nuclear applications. In a growing number of domains, the design of algorithms is progressively shifting towards…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 Noé Olivier , Michel Nowak

The efficient simulation of the mean value of a non-linear functional of the solution to a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with additive Gaussian noise is considered. A Galerkin finite element method is employed along…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Andreas Petersson

The recently developed method Lasso Monte Carlo (LMC) for uncertainty quantification is applied to the characterisation of spent nuclear fuel. The propagation of nuclear data uncertainties to the output of calculations is an often required…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-09-04 Arnau Albà , Andreas Adelmann , Dimitri Rochman

We develop a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) framework for uncertainty quantification with Monte Carlo dropout. Treating dropout masks as a source of epistemic randomness, we define a fidelity hierarchy by the number of stochastic forward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Aaron Pim , Tristan Pryer

We propose numerical integration methods for Choquet integrals where the capacities are given by distortion functions of an underlying probability measure. It relies on the explicit representation of the integrals for step functions and can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Yumiharu Nakano

In this paper we introduce and discuss numerical schemes for the approximation of kinetic equations for flocking behavior with phase transitions that incorporate uncertain quantities. This class of schemes here considered make use of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Jose Antonio Carrillo , Mattia Zanella

We consider the application of multilevel Monte Carlo methods to steady state Darcy flow in a random porous medium, described mathematically by elliptic partial differential equations with random coefficients. The levels in the multilevel…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Minho Park , Aretha Teckentrup

We use the Multi Level Monte Carlo method to estimate uncertainties in a Henry-like salt water intrusion problem with a fracture. The flow is induced by the variation of the density of the fluid phase, which depends on the mass fraction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Dmitry Logashenko , Alexander Litvinenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum

In this article, we derive an iterative scheme through a quasi-Newton technique to capture robust weakly efficient points of uncertain multiobjective optimization problems under the upper set less relation. It is assumed that the set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-21 K. Gupta , D. Ghosh , C. Tammer , X. Zhao , J. C. Yao