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The kinetic equation is crucial for understanding the statistical properties of stochastic processes, yet current equations, such as the classical Fokker-Planck, are limited to local analysis. This paper derives a new kinetic equation for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-18 De-yu Zhong , Guang-qian Wang

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

We develop a stochastic formulation of cosmology in the early universe, after considering the scatter in the redshift-apparent magnitude diagram in the early epochs as an observational evidence for the non-deterministic evolution of early…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 C. Sivakumar , Moncy V. John , K. Babu Joseph

The most frequently used in physical application diffusive (based on the Fokker-Planck equation) model leans upon the assumption of small jumps of a macroscopic variable for each given realization of the stochastic process. This imposes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Serge Shpyrko , V. V. Ryazanov

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

A stochastic birth-death competition model for particles with excluded volume is proposed. The particles move, reproduce, and die on a regular lattice. While the death rate is constant, the birth rate is spatially nonlocal and implements…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-06-29 Nagi Khalil , Cristóbal López , Emilio Hernández-García

We model non-stationary volume-price distributions with a log-normal distribution and collect the time series of its two parameters. The time series of the two parameters are shown to be stationary and Markov-like and consequently can be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Joana Estevens , Paulo Rocha , Joao Boto , Pedro Lind

We are interested in populations in which the fitness of different genetic types fluctuates in time and space, driven by temporal and spatial fluctuations in the environment. For simplicity, our population is assumed to be composed of just…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Niloy Biswas , Alison Etheridge , Aleksander Klimek

In this paper, we study the significance of ecological interactions and separation of birth and death dynamics in stochastic heterogeneous populations via general birth-death processes. Interactions can manifest through the birth dynamics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-03 Erin Beckman , Heyrim Cho , Linh Huynh

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli

We consider a stochastic model for a pathogen population in the presence of an immune response, in which pathogen types are partially ordered by ancestry and the immune system must eliminate ancestor types before it can eliminate their…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

A fundamental problem in Bayesian inference and statistical machine learning is to efficiently sample from multimodal distributions. Due to metastability, multimodal distributions are difficult to sample using standard Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-27 Yulong Lu , Jianfeng Lu , James Nolen

We develop a continuous-time model for the long-term dynamics of adaptive stochastic optimization, focusing on bias-corrected Adam-type methods. Starting from a finite-sum setting, we identify a canonical scaling of learning rates, decay…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Kaj Nyström

The stochastic theory of non-relativistic quantum mechanics presented here relies heavily upon the theory of stochastic processes, with its definitions, theorems and specific vocabulary as well. Its main hypothesis states indeed that the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-04-01 Maurice J. M. L. O. Godart

Studies of fixation dynamics in Markov processes predominantly focus on the mean time to absorption. This may be inadequate if the distribution is broad and skewed. We compute the distribution of fixation times in one-step birth-death…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-30 Peter Ashcroft , Arne Traulsen , Tobias Galla

We present a statistical analysis of biological evolution processes. Specifically, we study the stochastic replication-mutation-death model where the population of a species may grow or shrink by birth or death, respectively, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

This paper is a continuation of the study on the stability speed for Markov processes. It extends the previous study of the ergodic convergence speed to the non-ergodic one, in which the processes are even allowed to be explosive or having…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Mu-Fa Chen

We design a stochastic individual-based model structured in energy, for single species consuming an external resource, where populations are characterized by a typical energy at birth in $\mathbb{R}^{*}_{+}$. The resource is maintained at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Sylvain Billiard , Virgile Brodu , Nicolas Champagnat , Coralie Fritsch

We consider a stochastic individual-based model for the evolution of a haploid, asexually reproducing population. The space of possible traits is given by the vertices of a (possibly directed) finite graph $G=(V,E)$. The evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Loren Coquille , Anna Kraut , Charline Smadi

A novel framework for the analysis of observation statistics on time discrete linear evolutions in Banach space is presented. The model differs from traditional models for stochastic processes and, in particular, clearly distinguishes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Ulrich Faigle , Gerhard Gierz