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There is a growing need for flexible general frameworks that integrate individual-level data with external summary information for improved statistical inference. External information relevant for a risk prediction model may come in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Tian Gu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Bhramar Mukherjee

Data on a continuous variable are often summarized by means of histograms or displayed in tabular format: the range of data is partitioned into consecutive interval classes and the number of observations falling within each class is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Philippe Lambert

Gathering observational data for medical decision-making often involves uncertainties arising from both type I (false positive)and type II (false negative) errors. In this work, we develop a statistical model to study how medical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-21 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Nested sampling (NS) is a popular algorithm for Bayesian computation. We investigate statistical errors in NS both analytically and numerically. We show two analytic results. First, we show that the leading terms in Skilling's expression…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-29 Andrew Fowlie , Qiao Li , Huifang Lv , Yecheng Sun , Jia Zhang , Le Zheng

Non-deterministic measurements are common in real-world scenarios: the performance of a stochastic optimization algorithm or the total reward of a reinforcement learning agent in a chaotic environment are just two examples in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-31 Etor Arza , Josu Ceberio , Ekhiñe Irurozki , Aritz Pérez

It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Andrew Gelman , Matthijs Vákár

Current statistical inference problems in areas like astronomy, genomics, and marketing routinely involve the simultaneous testing of thousands -- even millions -- of null hypotheses. For high-dimensional multivariate distributions, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Weixin Cai , Nima S. Hejazi , Alan E. Hubbard

A two-sample hypothesis test is a statistical procedure used to determine whether the distributions generating two samples are identical. We consider the two-sample testing problem in a new scenario where the sample measurements (or sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Weizhi Li , Prad Kadambi , Pouria Saidi , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Gautam Dasarathy , Visar Berisha

The rapid proliferation of high-quality synthetic data -- generated by advanced AI models or collected as auxiliary data from related tasks -- presents both opportunities and challenges for statistical inference. This paper introduces a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Meshi Bashari , Yonghoon Lee , Roy Maor Lotan , Edgar Dobriban , Yaniv Romano

Composite endpoints are increasingly used in clinical trials to capture treatment effects across multiple or hierarchically ordered outcomes. Although inference procedures based on win statistics, such as the win ratio, win odds, and net…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Xi Fang , Zhiqiang Cao , Fan Li

Even when aggregate accuracy is high, state-of-the-art NLP models often fail systematically on specific subgroups of data, resulting in unfair outcomes and eroding user trust. Additional data collection may not help in addressing these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Zexue He , Marco Tulio Ribeiro , Fereshte Khani

Meta-analysis aims to combine effect measures from several studies. For continuous outcomes, the most popular effect measures use simple or standardized differences in sample means. However, a number of applications focus on the absolute…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-03 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

Deep models are designed to operate on huge volumes of high dimensional data such as images. In order to reduce the volume of data these models must process, we propose a set-based two-stage end-to-end neural subsampling model that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Bruno Andreis , Seanie Lee , A. Tuan Nguyen , Juho Lee , Eunho Yang , Sung Ju Hwang

In this paper we study grouped variable selection problems by proposing a specified prior, called the nested spike and slab prior, to model collective behavior of regression coefficients. At the group level, the nested spike and slab prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-30 Tso-Jung Yen , Yu-Min Yen

In practice, machine learning experts are often confronted with imbalanced data. Without accounting for the imbalance, common classifiers perform poorly and standard evaluation metrics mislead the practitioners on the model's performance. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Ramiro Camino , Christian Hammerschmidt , Radu State

The major problem in information theoretic analysis of neural responses and other biological data is the reliable estimation of entropy--like quantities from small samples. We apply a recently introduced Bayesian entropy estimator to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-29 Ilya Nemenman , William Bialek , Rob de Ruyter van Steveninck

The age of big data has fueled expectations for accelerating learning. The availability of large data sets enables researchers to achieve more powerful statistical analyses and enhances the reliability of conclusions, which can be based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Ori Becher , Mira Marcus-Kalish , David M. Steinberg

We consider one of the most basic multiple testing problems that compares expectations of multivariate data among several groups. As a test statistic, a conventional (approximate) $t$-statistic is considered, and we determine its rejection…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Satoshi Kuriki , Toshihiko Shiroishi , Toyoyuki Takada

The nested error regression model is a useful tool for analyzing clustered (grouped) data, and is especially used in small area estimation. The classical nested error regression model assumes normality of random effects and error terms, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa
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