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In this paper, we provide a solution to two problems which have been open in default time modeling in credit risk. We first show that if $\tau$ is an arbitrary random (default) time such that its Az\'ema's supermartingale…
Three similar convergence notions are considered. Two of them are the long established notions of convergent dynamics and incremental stability. The other is the more recent notion of contraction analysis. All three convergence notions…
Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…
The density hypothesis on random times becomes now a standard in modeling of risks. One of the basic reasons to introduce the density hypothesis is the desire to have a computable credit risk model. However, recent work shows that merely an…
We propose a novel credit default model that takes into account the impact of macroeconomic information and contagion effect on the defaults of obligors. We use a set-valued Markov chain to model the default process, which is the set of all…
Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) pricing models need to be both flexible and tractable. The survival probability has to be known in closed form (for calibration purposes), the model should be able to fit any valid Credit Default Swap (CDS)…
In this article, we consider a 2 factors-model for pricing defaultable bond with discrete default intensity and barrier where the 2 factors are stochastic risk free short rate process and firm value process. We assume that the default event…
This article gives a probabilistic overview of the widely used method of default probability estimation proposed by K. Pluto and D. Tasche. There are listed detailed assumptions and derivation of the inequality where the probability of…
Diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have emerged as a promising technique in generative modeling. The success of DPMs relies on two ingredients: time reversal of diffusion processes and score matching. In view of possibly unguaranteed…
It is a well known fact that local scale invariance plays a fundamental role in the theory of derivative pricing. Specific applications of this principle have been used quite often under the name of `change of numeraire', but in recent work…
We investigate the impact of available information on the estimation of the default probability within a generalized structural model for credit risk. The traditional structural model where default is triggered when the value of the firm's…
Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…
We study Cressie Read power divergence (CRPD) estimation for moment based models, focusing on finite sample behavior. While generalized empirical likelihood estimators, dual to CRPD, are known to outperform generalized method of moments…
We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one L\'evy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This L\'evy process can not be observed…
The article's aim is to provide a solution to the equity premium puzzle with a derived model. The derived model which depends on Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model gives a solution to the puzzle with the values of coefficient of…
This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…
Stopping times are used in applications to model random arrivals. A standard assumption in many models is that they are conditionally independent, given an underlying filtration. This is a widely useful assumption, but there are…
We introduce a Langevin equation characterized by a time dependent drift. By assuming a temporal power-law dependence of the drift we show that a great variety of behavior is observed in the dynamics of the variance of the process. In…
We analyze the counterparty risk embedded in CDS contracts, in presence of a bilateral margin agreement. First, we investigate the pricing of collateralized counterparty risk and we derive the bilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA),…
Intuitively, the default risk of a single borrower is higher when her or his assets and debt are denominated in different currencies. Additionally, the default dependence of borrowers with assets and debt in different currencies should be…