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We propose a Bayesian Sequential procedure to test hypotheses concerning the Relative Risk between two specific treatments based on the binary data obtained from the two-arm clinical trial. Our development is based on the optimal sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

Providing closed-form estimates of the decoding failure rate of iterative decoders for low- and moderate-density binary parity-check codes has attracted significant interest in the research community. Recently, interest in this topic has…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Alessandro Annechini , Alessandro Barenghi , Gerardo Pelosi

We consider the problem of sequential multiple hypothesis testing with nontrivial data collection costs. This problem appears, for example, when conducting biological experiments to identify differentially expressed genes of a disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Thomas Cook , Harsh Vardhan Dubey , Ji Ah Lee , Guangyu Zhu , Tingting Zhao , Patrick Flaherty

Recommended 2 $\beta$ (2 $\nu$) half-life values and their systematics were analyzed in the frame- work of a simple empirical approach. T$^{2 \nu}$$_{1/2}$ ~ 1/E$^{8}$ trend has been observed for $^{128,130}$Te recommended values. This…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2010-04-20 B. Pritychenko

We review the so called selfish mining strategy in the Bitcoin network and compare its profitability to honest mining.We build a rigorous profitability model for repetition games. The time analysis of the attack has been ignored in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Cyril Grunspan , Ricardo Pérez-Marco

The persistence phenomenon is studied in the Japanese financial market by using a novel mapping of the time evolution of the values of shares quoted on the Nikkei Index onto Ising spins. The method is applied to historical end of day data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 S. Jain , T. Yamano

We consider the conditional treatment effect for competing risks data in observational studies. While it is described as a constant difference between the hazard functions given the covariates, we do not assume specific functional forms for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Denise Rava , Ronghui Xu

We provide a game-theoretic analysis of the problem of front-running attacks. We use it to distinguish attacks from legitimate competition among honest users for having their transactions included earlier in the block. We also use it to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-11 Andrea Canidio , Vincent Danos

For a sequence of binary bets, the Kelly criterion provides a closed-form solution that maximizes the expected growth rate of wealth. In contrast, when multiple bets are placed simultaneously (e.g., in portfolio allocation or prediction…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-30 Ruslan Tepelyan , Daniel Lam

Convex duality for two two different super--replication problems in a continuous time financial market with proportional transaction cost is proved. In this market, static hedging in a finite number of options, in addition to usual dynamic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-20 Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

In this work, we propose to apply a new model fusion and learning paradigm, known as Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), to the field of Bitcoin price prediction. Price prediction of financial product has always been a big topic in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Yuanhong Wu , Wei Ye , Jingyan Xu , D. Frank Hsu

The distributed hypothesis testing problem with full side-information is studied. The trade-off (reliability function) between the two types of error exponents under limited rate is studied in the following way. First, the problem is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-24 Nir Weinberger , Yuval Kochman

We consider the multi-period portfolio optimization problem with a single asset that can be held long or short. Due to the presence of transaction costs, maximizing the immediate reward at each period may prove detrimental, as frequent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Chutian Ma , Paul Smith

Bitcoin is a "crypto currency", a decentralized electronic payment scheme based on cryptography which has recently gained excessive popularity. Scientific research on bitcoin is less abundant. A paper at Financial Cryptography 2012…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-04-11 Nicolas T. Courtois , Marek Grajek , Rahul Naik

Recent studies observed a surprising concept on model test error called the double descent phenomenon, where the increasing model complexity decreases the test error first and then the error increases and decreases again. To observe this,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Chathurika S Abeykoon , Aleksandr Beknazaryan , Hailin Sang

The mining of bitcoin is modeled using system dynamics, showing that the past evolution of the network hash rate can be explained to a large extent by an efficient market hypothesis applied to the mining of blocks. The possibility of a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Davide Lasi , Lukas Saul

The study examines whether fama-french equity factors can effectively explain the idiosyncratic risk and return characteristics of Bitcoin. By incorporating Fama-french factors, the explanatory power of these factors on Bitcoin's excess…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-02 Shubham Singh

In blockchain networks adopting the proof-of-work schemes, the monetary incentive is introduced by the Nakamoto consensus protocol to guide the behaviors of the full nodes (i.e., block miners) in the process of maintaining the consensus…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Xiaojun Liu , Wenbo Wang , Dusit Niyato , Narisa Zhao , Ping Wang

Modern foundation models often undergo iterative ``bootstrapping'' in their post-training phase: a model generates synthetic data, an external verifier filters out low-quality samples, and the high-quality subset is used for further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Pu Yang , Yunzhen Feng , Ziyuan Chen , Yuhang Wu , Zhuoyuan Li

In this paper, we address the critical challenges of double-spending and selfish mining attacks in blockchain-based digital currencies. Double-spending is a problem where the same tender is spent multiple times during a digital currency…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Seyed Ardalan Ghoreishi , Mohammad Reza Meybodi