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Related papers: Rough volatility: evidence from option prices

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This article is devoted to study stochastic lattice dynamical systems driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. First of all, we investigate the existence and uniqueness of pathwise mild solutions to such…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Hakima Bessaih , María J. Garrido-Atienza , Xiaoying Han , Björn Schmalfuß

The objective of the current study is to utilize an innovative method called 'change probabilities' for describing fracture roughness. In order to detect and visualize anisotropy of rock joint surfaces, the roughness of one-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-23 Tim Gutjahr , Sina Hale , Karsten Keller , Philipp Blum , Steffen Winter

This study provides a consistent and efficient pricing method for both Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPX) options and the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index (VIX) options under a multiscale stochastic volatility model. To…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Jaegi Jeon , Geonwoo Kim , Jeonggyu Huh

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

We address the information content of European option prices about volatility in terms of the Fisher information matrix. We assume that observed option prices are centred on the theoretical price provided by Heston's model disturbed by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-19 Oliver Pfante , Nils Bertschinger

In this paper we study short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for Inverse European options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow a general stochastic volatility process. Using techniques of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

Stochastic models with fractional Brownian motion as source of randomness have become popular since the early 2000s. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a Gaussian process, whose covariance depends on the so-called Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Anna P. Kwossek , Andreas Neuenkirch , David J. Prömel

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form. The most popular parametrizations are based on or inspired by an underlying stochastic model, like the Heston model (SVI method) or the SABR model (SABR…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Nicola F. Zaugg , Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak

We discuss the pricing and hedging of volatility options in some rough volatility models. First, we develop efficient Monte Carlo methods and asymptotic approximations for computing option prices and hedge ratios in models where…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Blanka Horvath , Antoine Jacquier , Peter Tankov

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

Rough volatility models have recently been empirically shown to provide a good fit to historical volatility time series and implied volatility smiles of SPX options. They are continuous-time stochastic volatility models, whose volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-01 Jingtang Ma , Wensheng Yang , Zhenyu Cui

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-12 Abel Rodriguez , Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

In this paper, we apply rough paths techniques to provide an approximation of the solution of stochastic functional differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. Here, the involved stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Johanna Garzón , Jorge A. León , Jorge Lozada , Soledad Torres

We introduce the multivariate Log S-fBM model (mLog S-fBM), extending the univariate framework proposed by Wu \textit{et al.} to the multidimensional setting. We define the multidimensional Stationary fractional Brownian motion (mS-fBM),…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Othmane Zarhali , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Most of the empirical studies on stochastic volatility dynamics favor the 3/2 specification over the square-root (CIR) process in the Heston model. In the context of option pricing, the 3/2 stochastic volatility model is reported to be able…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-01 Wendong Zheng , Pingping Zeng

In this paper we establish limit theorems for power variations of stochastic processes controlled by fractional Brownian motions with Hurst parameter $H\leq 1/2$. We show that the power variations of such processes can be decomposed into…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Yanghui Liu , Xiaohua Wang

The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is parameterized by the Hurst exponent $H\in(0,1)$, which determines the dependence structure and regularity of sample paths. Empirical findings suggest that the Hurst exponent may be non-constant in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Fabian Mies , Benedikt Wilkens

In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We develop a variant of rough path theory tailor-made for analyzing a class of financial asset price models known as rough volatility models. As an application, we prove a pathwise large deviation principle (LDP) for a certain class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Masaaki Fukasawa , Ryoji Takano

Rough volatility is a well-established statistical stylised fact of financial assets. This property has lead to the design and analysis of various new rough stochastic volatility models. However, most of these developments have been carried…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-31 Mehdi Tomas , Mathieu Rosenbaum