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A speculative agent with Prospect Theory preference chooses the optimal time to purchase and then to sell an indivisible risky asset to maximize the expected utility of the round-trip profit net of transaction costs. The optimization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Alex S. L. Tse , Harry Zheng

In conventional mobile data plans, the data is associated with a fixed period (e.g., one month) and the unused data will be cleared at the end of each period. To take advantage of consumers' heterogeneous demands across different periods…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-29 Yi Wei , Junlin Yu , Tat M. Lok , Lin Gao

An empirical analysis, suggested by optimal Merton dynamics, reveals some unexpected features of asset volumes. These features are connected to traders' belief and risk aversion. This paper proposes a trading strategy model in the optimal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Francesca Mariani , Maria Cristina Recchioni , Tai-Ho Wang , Roberto Giacalone

Most studies of prosumer decision making in the smart grid have focused on single, temporally discrete decisions within the framework of expected utility theory (EUT) and behavioral theories such as prospect theory. In this work, we study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-09 Mohsen Rajabpour , Arnold Glass , Robert Mulligan , Narayan B. Mandayam

Mobile data demand is increasing tremendously in wireless social networks, and thus an efficient pricing scheme for social-enabled services is urgently needed. Though static pricing is dominant in the actual data market, price intuitively…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Zehui Xiong , Dusit Niyato , Ping Wang , Zhu Han , Yang Zhang

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

The question we raise through this paper is: Is it economically feasible to trade consumer personal information with their formal consent (permission) and in return provide them incentives (monetary or otherwise)?. In view of (a) the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Ranjan Pal , Yixuan Wang , Swades De , Bodhibrata Nag , Pan Hui

This study investigates an optimal consumption--investment problem in which the unobserved stock trend is modulated by a hidden Markov chain that represents different economic regimes. In the classical approach, the hidden state is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-21 Kexin Chen , Hoi Ying Wong

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

We study optimal investment problems under the framework of cumulative prospect theory (CPT). A CPT investor makes investment decisions in a single-period financial market with transaction costs. The objective is to seek the optimal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-15 Bin Zou , Rudi Zagst

We consider a profit maximization problem in an urban mobility on-demand service, of which the operator owns a fleet, provides both exclusive and shared trip services, and dynamically determines prices of offers. With knowledge of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Han Qiu , Ruimin Li , Jinhua Zhao

We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

Although behavioral economics has demonstrated that there are many situations where rational choice is a poor empirical model, it has so far failed to provide quantitative models of economic problems such as price formation. We make a step…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

A first attempt at obtaining market--directional information from a non--stationary solution of the dynamic equation "future price tends to the value that maximizes the number of shares traded per unit time" [1] is presented. We demonstrate…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-29 Vladislav Gennadievich Malyshkin

Most people are risk-averse (risk-seeking) when they expect to gain (lose). Based on a generalization of ``expected utility theory'' which takes this into account, we introduce an automaton mimicking the dynamics of economic operations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Anteneodo , C. Tsallis , A. S. Martinez

Understanding human driving behavior is important for autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we propose an interpretable human behavior model in interactive driving scenarios based on the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). As a non-expected…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Yeping Hu , Masayoshi Tomizuka

We investigate brokerage between traders from an online learning perspective. At any round $t$, two traders arrive with their private valuations, and the broker proposes a trading price. Unlike other bilateral trade problems already studied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Nataša Bolić , Tommaso Cesari , Roberto Colomboni

In electricity markets, retailers or brokers want to maximize profits by allocating tariff profiles to end consumers. One of the objectives of such demand response management is to incentivize the consumers to adjust their consumption so…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Jyoti Narwariya , Chetan Verma , Pankaj Malhotra , Lovekesh Vig , Easwara Subramanian , Sanjay Bhat

In this paper we discuss practical limitations of the standard choice-based demand models used in the literature to estimate demand from sales transaction data. We present modifications and extensions of the models and discuss data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Norbert Remenyi , Xiaodong Luo

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie