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Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

We consider the paths of a Gaussian random process $x(t)$, $x(0)=0$ not exceeding a fixed positive level over a large time interval $(0,T)$, $T\gg 1$. The probability $p(T)$ of such event is frequently a regularly varying function at…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 G. Molchan , A. Khokhlov

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana

The definitions of temporal instability and of spatial instability in a flow system are comparatively surveyed. The simple model of one-dimensional Burgers' flow is taken as the scenario where such different conceptions of instability are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-04 Antonio Barletta

We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo

It is shown that under a certain condition on a semimartingale and a time-change, any stochastic integral driven by the time-changed semimartingale is a time-changed stochastic integral driven by the original semimartingale. As a direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Kei Kobayashi

In this paper, we consider the discrete-time setting, and the market model described by (S,F,T)$. Herein F is the ``public" flow of information which is available to all agents overtime, S is the discounted price process of d-tradable…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-12 Tahir Choulli , Emmanuel Lepinette

Invariance properties of semimartingales on Lie groups under a family of random transformations are defined and investigated, generalizing the random rotations of the Brownian motion. A necessary and sufficient explicit condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Sergio Albeverio , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Paola Morando , Stefania Ugolini

In the paper we study sharp maximal inequalities for martingales and non-negative submartingales: if $f$, $g$ are martingales satisfying \[|\mathrm{d}g_n|\leq|\mathrm{d}f_n|,\qquad n=0,1,2,...,\] almost surely, then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Adam Osȩkowski

We study the valuation of an American put option with a random time horizon given by the last exit time of the underlying asset from a fixed level. Since this random time is not a stopping time, the problem falls outside the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Zhuoshu Wu , Libo Li

We provide a characterization of the family of non-negative local martingales that have continuous running supremum and vanish at infinity. This is done by describing the class of random times that identify the times of maximum of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-03 Beatrice Acciaio , Irina Penner

The emergence of time in the matter-gravity system is addressed within the context of the inflationary paradigm. A quantum minisuperspace-homogeneous minimally coupled inflaton system is studied with suitable initial conditions leading to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 A. Tronconi , G. P. Vacca , G. Venturi

Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

We study a classical reparametrization-invariant system, in which ``time'' is not a priori defined. It consists of a nonrelativistic particle moving in five dimensions, two of which are compactified to form a torus. There, assuming a…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 H. -Th. Elze , O. Schipper

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

We give sufficient conditions on the underlying filtration such that all totally inaccessible stopping times have compensators which are absolutely continuous. If a semimartingale, strong Markov process X has a representation as a solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-19 Svante Janson , Sokhna M'Baye , Philip Protter

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We show that all local martingales with respect to the initially enlarged natural filtration of a vector of multivariate point processes can be weakly represented up to the minimum among the explosion times of the components. We also prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Antonella Calzolari , Barbara Torti

We derive the asymptotic first passage time (FPT) distribution for space-dependent variable-order time-fractional diffusion, where the fractional exponent $\alpha(x)$ varies with position. For any sufficiently smooth $\alpha(x)$ on a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-16 Wancheng Li , Daniel S. Han

We discuss the martingales in relevance with $G$-strongly quasi-invariant states on a $C^*$-algebra $\mathcal A$, where $G$ is a separable locally compact group of $*$-automorphisms of $\mathcal A$. In the von Neumann algebra $\mathfrak A$…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Ameur Dhahri , Chul Ki Ko , Hyun Jae Yoo