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Related papers: Invariance times

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Given a stochastic structure with a filtration $\mathbb{F}$, the class of all random times whose conditional distribution functions are differentiable with respect to some $\mathbb{F}$ adapted non decreasing processes is considered. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Shiqi Song

Given a positive random variable $X$, $X\ge0$ a.s., a null hypothesis $H_0:E(X)\le\mu$ and a random sample of infinite size of $X$, we construct test supermartingales for $H_0$, i.e. positive processes that are supermartingale if the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Harrie Hendriks

We consider a market model where there are two levels of information. The public information generated by the financial assets, and a larger flow of information that contains additional knowledge about a random time. This random time can…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-30 Tahir Choulli , Catherine Daveloose , Michèle Vanmaele

Let X and Y be an m-dimensional F-semimartingale and an n-dimensional H-semimartingale respectively on the same probability space, both enjoying the strong predictable representation property. We propose a martingale representation result…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Antonella Calzolari , Barbara Torti

We present for the first time a supermartingale certificate for $\omega$-regular specifications. We leverage the Robbins & Siegmund convergence theorem to characterize supermartingale certificates for the almost-sure acceptance of Streett…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Alessandro Abate , Mirco Giacobbe , Diptarko Roy

In this paper, we study Bessel processes of dimension $\delta\equiv2(1-\mu)$, with $0<\delta<2$, and some related martingales and random times. Our approach is based on martingale techniques and the general theory of stochastic processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Ashkan Nikeghbali

This overview article concerns the notion of fractional smoothness of random variables of the form $g(X_T)$, where $X=(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ is a certain diffusion process. We review the connection to the real interpolation theory, give…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-22 Stefan Geiss , Emmanuel Gobet

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

A nonnegative martingale with initial value equal to one measures evidence against a probabilistic hypothesis. The inverse of its value at some stopping time can be interpreted as a Bayes factor. If we exaggerate the evidence by considering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Glenn Shafer , Alexander Shen , Nikolai Vereshchagin , Vladimir Vovk

This paper completes the two studies undertaken in \cite{aksamit/choulli/deng/jeanblanc2} and \cite{aksamit/choulli/deng/jeanblanc3}, where the authors quantify the impact of a random time on the No-Unbounded-Risk-with-Bounded-Profit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-06 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Monique Jeanblanc

A new integral with respect to an integer-valued random measure is introduced. In contrast to the finite variation integral ubiquitous in semimartingale theory (Jacod and Shiryaev, 2003, II.1.5), the new integral is closed under stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

We prove that, for locally bounded processes, absence of arbitrage opportunities of the first kind is equivalent to the existence of a dominating local martingale measure. This is related to and motivated by results from the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Peter Imkeller , Nicolas Perkowski

Recently, D. Williams \cite{williams} gave an explicit example of a random time $\rho $ associated with Brownian motion such that $\rho $ is not a stopping time but $\mathbb{E}M_{\rho}=\mathbb{E}M_{0}$ for every bounded martingale $M$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Marc Yor

We identify the linear space spanned by the real-valued excessive functions of a Markov process with the set of those functions which are quasimartingales when we compose them with the process. Applications to semi-Dirichlet forms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Iulian Cîmpean , Lucian Beznea

In this note we introduce a new kind of augmentation of filtrations along a sequence of stopping times. This augmentation is suitable for the construction of new probability measures associated to a positive strict local martingale as done…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 Doerte Kreher , Ashkan Nikeghbali

In this paper we show that the weak representation property of a semimartingale $X$ with respect to a filtration $\mathbb{F}$ is preserved in the progressive enlargement $\mathbb{G}$ by a random time $\tau$ avoiding $\mathbb{F}$-stopping…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Paolo Di Tella

Stochastic symmetries and related invariance properties of finite dimensional SDEs driven by general c\`adl\`ag semimartingales taking values in Lie groups are defined and investigated. In order to enlarge the class of possible symmetries…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Sergio Albeverio , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Paola Morando , Stefania Ugolini

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

In neuroscience, the time elapsed since the last discharge has been used to predict the probability of the next discharge. Such predictions can be improved taking into account the last two discharge times, and possibly more. Such multi-time…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xu'An Dou , Benoît Perthame , Chenjiayue Qi , Delphine Salort , Zhennan Zhou

An exact invariant is derived for $n$-degree-of-freedom Hamiltonian systems with general time-dependent potentials. The invariant is worked out in two equivalent ways. In the first approach, we define a special {\it Ansatz\/} for the…

Classical Physics · Physics 2023-03-23 Jürgen Struckmeier , Claus Riedel