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We study the problem of estimating the mean of a multivariatedistribution based on independent samples. The main result is the proof of existence of an estimator with a non-asymptotic sub-Gaussian performance for all distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Emilien Joly , Gábor Lugosi , Roberto I. Oliveira

We discuss the possibilities and limitations of estimating the mean of a real-valued random variable from independent and identically distributed observations from a non-asymptotic point of view. In particular, we define estimators with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Luc Devroye , Matthieu Lerasle , Gabor Lugosi , Roberto I. Oliveira

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

We propose an estimator for the mean of a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that can be computed in time $O(n^4+n^2d)$ for $n$ i.i.d.~samples and that has error bounds matching the sub-Gaussian case. The only assumptions we make about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Nicolas Flammarion , Peter L. Bartlett

We study polynomial time algorithms for estimating the mean of a heavy-tailed multivariate random vector. We assume only that the random vector $X$ has finite mean and covariance. In this setting, the radius of confidence intervals achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Samuel B. Hopkins

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen

Estimation of the covariance matrix has attracted a lot of attention of the statistical research community over the years, partially due to important applications such as Principal Component Analysis. However, frequently used empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Stanislav Minsker

The paper considers the problem of estimating a $p\geq2$\ dimensional mean vector of a multivariate conditionally normal distribution under quadratic loss. The problem of this type arises when estimating the parameters in a continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-27 Evgeny Pchelintsev

Let $X$ be a random variable with unknown mean and finite variance. We present a new estimator of the mean of $X$ that is robust with respect to the possible presence of outliers in the sample, provides tight sub-Gaussian deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Stanislav Minsker , Mohamed Ndaoud

In this paper, we present a new estimator of the mean of a random vector, computed by applying some threshold function to the norm. Non asymptotic dimension-free almost sub-Gaussian bounds are proved under weak moment assumptions, using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Olivier Catoni , Ilaria Giulini

The goal of this note is to present a modification of the popular median of means estimator that achieves sub-Gaussian deviation bounds with nearly optimal constants under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. We build on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Stanislav Minsker

We present a new quantum algorithm for estimating the mean of a real-valued random variable obtained as the output of a quantum computation. Our estimator achieves a nearly-optimal quadratic speedup over the number of classical i.i.d.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-11-16 Yassine Hamoudi

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on $N$ independent, identically distributed observations. We prove the existence of an estimator that has a near-optimal error in all directions in which the variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

We consider the estimation problem for jointly stable random variables. Under two specific dependency models: a linear transformation of two independent stable variables and a sub-Gaussian symmetric $\alpha$-stable (S$\alpha$S) vector, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Rayan Chouity , Charbel Hannoun , Jihad Fahs , Ibrahim Abou-Faycal

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$ based on an i.i.d.\ sample, when the accuracy of the estimator is measured by a general norm on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We construct an estimator (that depends on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Gábor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

We consider the problem of mean estimation assuming only finite variance. We study a new class of mean estimators constructed by integrating over random noise applied to a soft-truncated empirical mean estimator. For appropriate choices of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Matthew J. Holland

This paper addresses the following question: given a sample of i.i.d. random variables with finite variance, can one construct an estimator of the unknown mean that performs nearly as well as if the data were normally distributed? One of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Stanislav Minsker

We present simple differentially private estimators for the mean and covariance of multivariate sub-Gaussian data that are accurate at small sample sizes. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithms both theoretically and empirically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Sourav Biswas , Yihe Dong , Gautam Kamath , Jonathan Ullman

The goal of this paper is to show that a single robust estimator of the mean of a multivariate Gaussian distribution can enjoy five desirable properties. First, it is computationally tractable in the sense that it can be computed in a time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Arshak Minasyan

There is growing interest in improving our algorithmic understanding of fundamental statistical problems such as mean estimation, driven by the goal of understanding the limits of what we can extract from valuable data. The state of the art…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Trung Dang , Jasper C. H. Lee , Maoyuan Song , Paul Valiant
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