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Spatial modelling of extreme values allows studying the risk of joint occurrence of extreme events at different locations and is of significant interest in climatic and other environmental sciences. A popular class of dependence models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan , Thomas Opitz

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Hailiang Yang , Yildiray Yildirim

The Pareto model is very popular in risk management, since simple analytical formulas can be derived for financial downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall) or reinsurance premiums and related quantities (Large Claim Index,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-30 Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire

We present a probabilistic model of events in continuous time in which each event triggers a Poisson process of successor events. The ensemble of observed events is thereby modeled as a superposition of Poisson processes. Efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Aleksandr Simma , Michael I. Jordan

In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Ritik Soni

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Analytical and numerical studies on many-body stochastic processes with multiplicative interactions are reviewed. The method of moment relations is used to investigate effects of asymmetry and randomness in interactions. Probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Akihiro Fujihara , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto

An algorithm for the unbiased simulation of continuous max-(resp.\ min-)id stochastic processes is developed. The algorithm only requires the simulation of finite Poisson random measures on the space of continuous functions and avoids the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Florian Brück

In quantitative finance, it is often necessary to analyze the distribution of the sum of specific functions of observed values at discrete points of an underlying process. Examples include the probability density function, the hedging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Jong Jun Park , Kyungsub Lee

This paper presents a unified treatment of Gaussian process models that extends to data from the exponential dispersion family and to survival data. Our specific interest is in the analysis of data sets with predictors that have an a priori…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Terrance Savitsky , Marina Vannucci , Naijun Sha

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

We consider a bivariate first hitting-time model in which durations are the crossing times of dependent compound Poisson processes with fixed thresholds. The identifiability of the model is discussed, and likelihood estimators of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Several two-boundary problems are solved for a special L\'{e}vy process: the Poisson process with an exponential component. The jumps of this process are controlled by a homogeneous Poisson process, the positive jump size distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Tetyana Kadankova , Noël Veraverbeke

We are interested in investigating the statistical properties of extreme values for strongly correlated variables. The starting motivation is to understand how the strong-correlation properties of power-law distributed processes affect the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-05-21 Salvatore Miccichè

We derive sufficient conditions for the mixing of all orders of interacting transformations of a spatial Poisson point process, under a zero-type condition in probability and a generalized adaptedness condition. This extends a classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Nicolas Privault

This article employs the relation between probabilities of two consecutive values of a Poisson random variable to derive conditions for the weak convergence of point processes to a Poisson process. As applications, we consider the starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Federico Pianoforte , Matthias Schulte

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell
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