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Related papers: Coupled Continuous Time Random Maxima

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The usual development of the continuous-time random walk (CTRW) proceeds by assuming that the present is one of the jumping times. Under this restrictive assumption integral equations for the propagator and mean escape times have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-17 Javier Villarroel , Miquel Montero

In this article, we generalize the recent Discrete Time Random Walk (DTRW) algorithm, which was introduced for the computation of probability densities of fractional diffusion. Although it has the same computational complexity and shares…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-08-20 Gurtek Gill , Peter Straka

A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) execution is a continuous class of probability distributions over states. This paper proposes a probabilistic linear-time temporal logic, namely continuous-time linear logic (CLL), to reason about the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Ji Guan , Nengkun Yu

Understanding and predicting uncertain things are the central themes of scientific evolution. Human beings revolve around these fears of uncertainties concerning various aspects like a global pandemic, health, finances, to name but a few.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Arindam Mishra , Dibakar Ghosh

We develop a continuous time random walk (CTRW) approach for the evolution of Lagrangian velocities in steady heterogeneous flows based on a stochastic relaxation process for the streamwise particle velocities. This approach describes…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-11-30 Marco Dentz , Peter K. Kang , Alessandro Comolli , Tanguy Le Borgne , Daniel R. Lester

We adapt continuous time random walk (CTRW) formalism to describe asset price evolution and discuss some of the problems that can be treated using this approach. We basically focus on two aspects: (i) the derivation of the price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 J. Masoliver , M. Montero , J. Perello , G. H. Weiss

We consider the dynamics of a separable Continuous Time Random Walk (CTRW) when the random walker is biased by a velocity field in a uniformly growing domain. Concrete examples for such domains include growing biological cells or lipid…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 F. Le Vot , E. Abad , R. Metzler , S. B. Yuste

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

Verifying probabilistic forecasts for extreme events is a highly active research area because popular media and public opinions are naturally focused on extreme events, and biased conclusions are readily made. In this context, classical…

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on fractional diffusion equations and related random walk models. The fundamental solutions of these equations can be interpreted as probability densities evolving in time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-27 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

Rare events refer to qualitatively unlikely events whose realization can nevertheless have important consequences. Typically, the prediction of the kinetics of these events relies on Arrhenius laws, with exponentially distributed waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-18 Apurba Biswas , Thomas Guérin

Continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) are popular modeling formalism that constitutes the underlying semantics for real-time probabilistic systems such as queuing networks, stochastic process algebras, and calculi for systems biology. Prism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Giovanni Bacci , Anna Ingólfsdóttir , Kim G. Larsen , Raphaël Reynouard

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

In a classical optimal stopping problem the aim is to maximize the expected value of a functional of a diffusion evaluated at a stopping time. This note considers optimal stopping problems beyond this paradigm. We study problems in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

We study financial distributions within the framework of the continuous time random walk (CTRW). We review earlier approaches and present new results related to overnight effects as well as the generalization of the formalism which embodies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep Perello , George H. Weiss

It is often claimed that the fundamental laws of physics are deterministic and time-symmetric and that therefore our experience of the passage of time is an illusion. This paper will critically discuss these claims and show that they are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-20 Barbara Drossel

Having reliable estimates of the occurrence rates of extreme events is highly important for insurance companies, government agencies and the general public. The rarity of an extreme event is typically expressed through its return period,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Emma Eastoe , Rob Lamb

In the critical beta-splitting model of a random $n$-leaf binary tree, leaf-sets are recursively split into subsets, and a set of $m$ leaves is split into subsets containing $i$ and $m-i$ leaves with probabilities proportional to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-09 David Aldous , Boris Pittel

We derive the generalized master equation for reaction-diffusion on networks from an underlying stochastic process, the continuous time random walk (CTRW). The non-trivial incorporation of the reaction process into the CTRW is achieved by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Christopher N. Angstmann , Isaac C. Donnelly , Bruce I. Henry