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Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts

The need for regression models to predict circular values arises in many scientific fields. In this work we explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions related to Gaussian processes…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Rafael Boloix-Tortosa , F. Javier Payán-Somet , Eva Arias-de-Reyna , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

Diffusion or score-based models recently showed high performance in image generation. They rely on a forward and a backward stochastic differential equations (SDE). The sampling of a data distribution is achieved by numerically solving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Emile Pierret , Bruno Galerne

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a popular and sample-efficient approach for many engineering applications, where observations are expensive to acquire, and is also a central ingredient of Bayesian optimization (BO), a highly prevailing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Sébastien Da Veiga

Gaussian process regression is a widely-applied method for function approximation and uncertainty quantification. The technique has gained popularity recently in the machine learning community due to its robustness and interpretability. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Marcus M. Noack , James A. Sethian

We study posterior rates of contraction in Gaussian process regression with unbounded covariate domain. Our argument relies on developing a Gaussian approximation to the posterior of the leading coefficients of a Karhunen--Lo\'{e}ve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

We revisit Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection model by considering a distributionally robust version, where the region of distributional uncertainty is around the empirical measure and the discrepancy between probability measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-15 Jose Blanchet , Lin Chen , Xun Yu Zhou

With the proliferation of screening tools for chemical testing, it is now possible to create vast databases of chemicals easily. However, rigorous statistical methodologies employed to analyse these databases are in their infancy, and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-26 Arron Gosnell , Evangelos Evangelou

This work presents a family of parsimonious Gaussian process models which allow to build, from a finite sample, a model-based classifier in an infinite dimensional space. The proposed parsimonious models are obtained by constraining the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-18 Charles Bouveyron , Stéphane Girard , Mathieu Fauvel

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We present a principled study on defining Gaussian processes (GPs) with inputs on the product of directional manifolds. A circular kernel is first presented according to the von Mises distribution. Based thereon, the hypertoroidal von Mises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Ziyu Cao , Kailai Li

Reciprocal processes are acausal generalizations of Markov processes introduced by Bernstein in 1932. In the literature, a significant amount of attention has been focused on developing dynamical models for reciprocal processes. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-11 Francesca Paola Carli

We study distribution-on-distribution regression problems in which a response distribution depends on multiple distributional predictors. Such settings arise naturally in applications where the outcome distribution is driven by several…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Yuanying Chen , Tongyu Li , Yang Bai , Zhenhua Lin

In this article we prove the existence of a stochastic optimal transference plan for a stochastic Monge-Kantorovich problem by measurable selection theorem. A stochastic version of Kantorovich duality and the characterization of stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-12 Xicheng Zhang

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Ryan Prescott Adams

We present discretize_distributions, a Python package that efficiently constructs discrete approximations of Gaussian mixture distributions and provides guarantees on the approximation error in Wasserstein distance. The package implements…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Steven Adams , Elize Alwash , Luca Laurenti

We investigate the geometrical structure of probabilistic generative dimensionality reduction models using the tools of Riemannian geometry. We explicitly define a distribution over the natural metric given by the models. We provide the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-01 Alessandra Tosi , Søren Hauberg , Alfredo Vellido , Neil D. Lawrence
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