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Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

In this paper, we present a comprehensive survey of human-mobility modeling based on 1680 articles published between 1999 and 2019, which can serve as a roadmap for research and practice in this area. Mobility modeling research has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Vaibhav Kulkarni , Benoit Garbinato

Significant challenges are posed by simulation and testing in the field of low-altitude unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) traffic due to the high costs associated with large-scale UAV testing and the complexity of establishing low-altitude…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zonghan Li , Tianwen Tao , Rao Fu , Liang Wang , Dongyuan Zhang , Quan Quan

Control systems on unmanned vehicles are safety-critical systems whose requirements on reliability and safety are ever-increasing. Currently, testing a complex autonomous control system is an expensive and time-consuming process, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-08 Xunhua Dai , Chenxu Ke , Quan Quan , Kai-Yuan Cai

High-speed online trajectory planning for UAVs poses a significant challenge due to the need for precise modeling of complex dynamics while also being constrained by computational limitations. This paper presents a multi-fidelity…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Gilhyun Ryou , Geoffrey Wang , Sertac Karaman

We propose a robust optimization approach for constructing confidence bands for stochastic processes using a finite number of simulated sample paths. Our approach can be used to quantify uncertainty in realizations of stochastic processes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Timothy Chan , Jangwon Park , Vahid Sarhangian

Forecasting the future trajectories of surrounding agents is crucial for autonomous vehicles to ensure safe, efficient, and comfortable route planning. While model ensembling has improved prediction accuracy in various fields, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Aron Distelzweig , Eitan Kosman , Andreas Look , Faris Janjoš , Denesh K. Manivannan , Abhinav Valada

Parametric statistical methods play a central role in analyzing risk through its underlying frequency and severity components. Given the wide availability of numerical algorithms and high-speed computers, researchers and practitioners often…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-17 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

Traffic simulation has gained a lot of interest for quantitative evaluation of self driving vehicles performance. In order for a simulator to be a valuable test bench, it is required that the driving policy animating each traffic agent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Yann Koeberle , Stefano Sabatini , Dzmitry Tsishkou , Christophe Sabourin

The rise in computational capability has increased reliance on simulations to inform aircraft design. However aircraft airworthiness testing for flight certification remains rooted in real-world experiments performed after manufacturing an…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-28 Jayant Mukhopadhaya

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

As the foundation of closed-loop training and evaluation in autonomous driving, traffic simulation still faces two fundamental challenges: covariate shift introduced by open-loop imitation learning and limited capacity to reflect the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Keyu Chen , Wenchao Sun , Hao Cheng , Zheng Fu , Sifa Zheng

This paper addresses the challenge of ensuring realistic traffic conditions by proposing a methodology that systematically identifies traffic simulation requirements. Using a structured approach based on sub-goals in each study phase,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Sven Tarlowski , Lutz Eckstein

Cooperative Intelligent Transportation Systems (C-ITS) constitute technologies which enable vehicles to communicate with each other and with road infrastructure. Verification or testing is required for C-ITS applications, in order to assess…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Kallirroi N. Porfyri , Areti Kotsi , Evangelos Mitsakis

In this paper, a cooperative decision-making is presented, which is suitable for intention-aware automated vehicle functions. With an increasing number of highly automated and autonomous vehicles on public roads, trust is a very important…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-09 Balint Varga , Dongxu Yang , Sören Hohmann

For an autonomous vehicle to operate reliably within real-world traffic scenarios, it is imperative to assess the repercussions of its prospective actions by anticipating the uncertain intentions exhibited by other participants in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Khaled A. Mustafa , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Jens Kober , Javier Alonso-Mora

Driving risk assessment is crucial for both autonomous vehicles and human-driven vehicles. The driving risk can be quantified as the product of the probability that an event (such as collision) will occur and the consequence of that event.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Junkai Jiang , Zeyu Han , Yuning Wang , Mengchi Cai , Qingwen Meng , Qing Xu , Jianqiang Wang

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

Developing and fielding complex systems requires proof that they are reliably correct with respect to their design and operating requirements. Especially for autonomous systems which exhibit unanticipated emergent behavior, fully…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Matthew Litton , Doron Drusinsky , James Bret Michael

In this paper, the problem of road friction prediction from a fleet of connected vehicles is investigated. A framework is proposed to predict the road friction level using both historical friction data from the connected cars and data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-19 Ghazaleh Panahandeh , Erik Ek , Nasser Mohammadiha