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We consider the problem of regression with selectively observed covariates in a nonparametric framework. Our approach relies on instrumental variables that explain variation in the latent covariates but have no direct effect on selection.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-15 Christoph Breunig , Peter Haan

The four-parameter generalized beta distribution of the second kind (GBII) has been proposed for modelling insurance losses with heavy-tailed features. The aim of this paper is to present a parametric composite GBII regression modelling by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Zhengxiao Li , Fei Wang , Zhengtang Zhao

In this paper we develop a novel inferential approach based on geometric records for estimating the tail index of heavy-tailed distributions. We construct a maximum likelihood estimator for the Pareto model and establish its strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Martín Alcalde , Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

The prediction of future insurance claims based on observed risk factors, or covariates, help the actuary set insurance premiums. Typically, actuaries use parametric regression models to predict claims based on the covariate information.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mostafa Shams Esfand Abadi , Kaushik Ghosh

This article explores the generalized analysis-of-variance or ANOVA dimensional decomposition (ADD) for multivariate functions of dependent random variables. Two notable properties, stemming from weakened annihilating conditions, reveal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Sharif Rahman

In this paper we consider Fourier transform techniques to efficiently compute the Value-at-Risk and the Conditional Value-at-Risk of an arbitrary loss random variable, characterized by having a computable generalized characteristic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-01 Alessandro Ramponi

Least absolute deviation regression is applied using a fixed number of points for all values of the index to estimate the index and scale parameter of the stable distribution using regression methods based on the empirical characteristic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Federated learning is a distributed paradigm that allows multiple parties to collaboratively train deep models without exchanging the raw data. However, the data distribution among clients is naturally non-i.i.d., which leads to severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Tianfei Zhou , Ender Konukoglu

Understanding and measuring model risk is important to financial practitioners. However, there lacks a non-parametric approach to model risk quantification in a dynamic setting and with path-dependent losses. We propose a complete theory…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-06 Yu Feng

We propose a robust aggregation method for model parameters in federated learning (FL) under noisy communications. FL is a distributed machine learning paradigm in which a central server aggregates local model parameters from multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Tsutahiro Fukuhara , Junya Hara , Hiroshi Higashi , Yuichi Tanaka

Building machine learning models from decentralized datasets located in different centers with federated learning (FL) is a promising approach to circumvent local data scarcity while preserving privacy. However, the prominent Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Mathieu Andreux , Andre Manoel , Romuald Menuet , Charlie Saillard , Chloé Simpson

Basel II and Solvency 2 both use the Value-at-Risk (VaR) as the risk measure to compute the Capital Requirements. In practice, to calibrate the VaR, a normal approximation is often chosen for the unknown distribution of the yearly log…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-04 Marie Kratz

This paper proposes a novel Generalized Non-Standard Finite Difference (GNSFD) scheme for the numerical solution of a class of fractional partial differential equations (FrPDEs). The formulation of the method is grounded in optimization and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Devank Mishra , Sheerin Kayenat , Amit K. Verma

Federated Learning (FL) makes a large amount of edge computing devices (e.g., mobile phones) jointly learn a global model without data sharing. In FL, data are generated in a decentralized manner with high heterogeneity. This paper studies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-20 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Xiangyu Chang , Zhihua Zhang

Automatic fault detection (AFD) is a key technology to optimize the Operation and Maintenance of photovoltaic (PV) systems portfolios. A very common approach to detect faults in PV systems is based on the comparison between measured and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-03 Eduardo Abdon Sarquis Filho , Björn Müller , Nicolas Holland , Christian Reise , Klaus Kiefer , Bernd Kollosch , Paulo J. Costa Branco

The paper deals with generalized functional regression. The aim is to estimate the influence of covariates on observations, drawn from an exponential distribution. The link considered has a semiparametric expression: if we are interested in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Irène Gannaz

A recurrent question in climate risk analysis is determining how climate change will affect heavy precipitation patterns. Dividing the globe into homogeneous sub-regions should improve the modelling of heavy precipitation by inferring…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-02 Philomène Le Gall , Anne-Catherine Favre , Philippe Naveau , Alexandre Tuel

Nonuniform Fourier data are routinely collected in applications such as magnetic resonance imaging, synthetic aperture radar, and synthetic imaging in radio astronomy. To acquire a fast reconstruction that does not require an online inverse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Anne Gelb , Guohui Song

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

Gradient descent is one of the most widely used iterative algorithms in modern statistical learning. However, its precise algorithmic dynamics in high-dimensional settings remain only partially understood, which has limited its broader…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Qiyang Han , Xiaocong Xu