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Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

The flexibility in electricity consumption and production in communities of residential buildings, including those with renewable energy sources and energy storage (a.k.a., prosumers), can effectively be utilized through the advancement of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

As the number of electric vehicles (EVs) continues to grow, the demand for charging stations is also increasing, leading to challenges such as long wait times and insufficient infrastructure. High-precision forecasting of EV charging demand…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-25 Saba Sanami , Hesam Mosalli , Yu Yang , Hen-Geul Yeh , Amir G. Aghdam

In this study, we delve into the realm of meta-learning to combine point base forecasts for probabilistic short-term electricity demand forecasting. Our approach encompasses the utilization of quantile linear regression, quantile regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Grzegorz Dudek

With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

Seasonal climate variations affect electricity demand, which in turn affects month-to-month electricity planning and operations. Electricity system planning at the monthly timescale can be improved by adapting climate forecasts to estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 A. R. de Queiroz , D. Mulcahy , A. Sankarasubramanian , J. P. Deane , G. Mahinthakumar , N. Lu , J. F. DeCarolis

PV power forecasting models are predominantly based on machine learning algorithms which do not provide any insight into or explanation about their predictions (black boxes). Therefore, their direct implementation in environments where…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-08 Georgios Mitrentsis , Hendrik Lens

The precise forecasting of electricity demand also referred to as load forecasting, is essential for both planning and managing a power system. It is crucial for many tasks, including choosing which power units to commit to, making plans…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kazi Fuad Bin Akhter , Sadia Mobasshira , Saief Nowaz Haque , Mahjub Alam Khan Hesham , Tanvir Ahmed

Fast and accurate hourly forecasts of wind speed and power are crucial in quantifying and planning the energy budget in the electric grid. Modeling wind at a high resolution brings forth considerable challenges given its turbulent and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Huang Huang , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

The long-term forecasting of electricity demand has been a prevalent research topic, primarily because of its economic and strategic relevance. Several machine learning as well as deep learning techniques have been developed in parallel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Vishvaditya Luhach , Shashwat Jha

There has been an increasing trend in the electric power system from a centralized generation-driven grid to a more reliable, environmental friendly, and customer-driven grid. One of the most important issues which the designers of smart…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Kianoosh G. Boroojeni , Shekoufeh Mokhtari , M. H. Amini , S. S. Iyengar

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

An accurate forecast of electric demand is essential for the optimal design of a generation system. For district installations, the projected lifespan may extend one or two decades. The reliance on a single-year forecast, combined with a…

The use of steel is essential in many industries, including infrastructure, transportation, and modern architecture. Predicting power consumption in the steel industry is crucial to meet the rising demand for steel and promoting city…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 WT Al-shaibani , Tareq Babaqi , Abdulraqeeb Alsarori

Due to the increase in data availability in urban and regional studies, various spatial panel models have emerged to model spatial panel data, which exhibit spatial patterns and spatial dependencies between observations across time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Michael Balzer , Adhen Benlahlou

We propose a simple empirical scaling law that describes load forecasting accuracy at different levels of aggregation. The model is justified based on a simple decomposition of individual consumption patterns. We show that for different…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-01 Raffi Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

Accurate electricity forecasting is crucial for grid stability and energy planning, especially in Benghazi, Libya, where frequent load shedding, generation deficits, and infrastructure limitations persist. This study proposes a data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Asma Agaal , Mansour Essgaer , Hend M. Farkash , Zulaiha Ali Othman

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

Forecasting building energy consumption has become a promising solution in Building Energy Management Systems for energy saving and optimization. Furthermore, it can play an important role in the efficient management of the operation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Mohamad Khalil , A. Stephen McGough , Hussain Kazmi , Sara Walker