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Current understanding holds that financial contagion is driven mainly by the system-wide interconnectedness of institutions. A distinction has been made between systematic and idiosyncratic channels of contagion, with shocks transmitted…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-04 Daniel Ahelegbey , Luis Carvalho , Eric Kolaczyk

When banks choose similar investment strategies the financial system becomes vulnerable to common shocks. We model a simple financial system in which banks decide about their investment strategy based on a private belief about the state of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Christoph Aymanns , Co-Pierre Georg

Antifragility is a property from which systems are able to resist stress and furthermore benefit from it. Even though antifragile dynamics is found in various real-world complex systems where multiple subsystems interact with each other,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-02-04 Hyobin Kim , Omar K. Pineda , Carlos Gershenson

Prior social contagion models consider the spread of either one contagion at a time on interdependent networks or multiple contagions on single layer networks or under assumptions of competition. We propose a new threshold model for the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Ho-Chun Herbert Chang , Feng Fu

A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-27 Alexander Lipton

Price-mediated contagion occurs when a positive feedback loop develops following a drop in asset prices which forces banks and other financial institutions to sell their holdings. Prior studies of such events fix the level of market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Zhiyu Cao , Zachary Feinstein

We test the hypothesis that interconnections across financial institutions can be explained by a diversification motive. This idea stems from the empirical evidence of the existence of long-term exposures that cannot be explained by a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 Jean-Cyprien Héam , Erwan Koch

The controllability of a network is a theoretical problem of relevance in a variety of contexts ranging from financial markets to the brain. Until now, network controllability has been characterized only on isolated networks, while the vast…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Giulia Menichetti , Luca Dall'Asta , Ginestra Bianconi

Inter-layer synchronization is a dynamical state occurring in multi-layer networks composed of identical nodes. The state corresponds to have all layers synchronized, with nodes in each layer which do not necessarily evolve in unison. So…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-10-06 I. Leyva , R. Sevilla-Escoboza , I. Sendiña-Nadal , R. Gutiérrez , J. M. Buldú , S. Boccaletti

The question that how cultural variation emerges has drawn lots of interest in sociological inquiry. Sociologists predominantly study such variation through the lens of social contagion, which mostly attributes cultural variation to the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Heng-Chien Liou , Hsuan-Wei Lee

The stability of a complex financial system may be assessed by measuring risk contagion between various financial institutions with relatively high exposure. We consider a financial network model using a bipartite graph of financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Financial contagion has been widely recognized as a fundamental risk to the financial system. Particularly potent is price-mediated contagion, wherein forced liquidations by firms depress asset prices and propagate financial stress,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Zhiyu Cao , Zihan Chen , Prerna Mishra , Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

Credit and liquidity risks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Giulio Cimini , Matteo Serri

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

We study how the phenomenon of contagion can take place in the network of the world's stock exchanges due to the behavioral trait "blindeness to small changes". On large scale individual, the delay in the collective response may…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-25 Lucia Bellenzier , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Giulia Rotundo

Real-world systems in epidemiology, social sciences, power transportation, economics and engineering are often described as multilayer networks. Here we first define and compute the symmetries of multilayer networks, and then study the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-07-29 F. Della Rossa , L. Pecora , K. Blaha , A. Shirin , I. Klickstein , F. Sorrentino

Complex networks often have a modular structure, where a number of tightly- connected groups of nodes (modules) have relatively few interconnections. Modularity had been shown to have an important effect on the evolution and stability of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-21 Saray Shai , Dror Y. Kenett , Yoed N. Kenett , Miriam Faust , Simon Dobson , Shlomo Havlin

This work proposes an augmented variant of DebtRank with uncertainty intervals as a method to investigate and assess systemic risk in financial networks, in a context of incomplete data. The algorithm is tested against a default contagion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-05 Stefano Gurciullo

Many new models for measuring financial contagion have been presented recently. While these models have not been specified for investment funds directly, there are many similarities that could be explored to extend the models. In this work…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-14 Leonardo dos Santos Pinheiro , Flavio Codeco Coelho

The interconnectedness of financial institutions affects instability and credit crises. To quantify systemic risk we introduce here the PD model, a dynamic model that combines credit risk techniques with a contagion mechanism on the network…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Daniele Petrone , Vito Latora