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In two recent articles we have examined a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a sequence of positive numbers, involving asymmetric expressions of probabilities that break the symmetry {\it win-loss}. We present in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 H. Bergeron , E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz

We formulate the statistics of the discrete multicomponent fragmentation event using a methodology borrowed from statistical mechanics. We generate the ensemble of all feasible distributions that can be formed when a single integer…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-03 Themis Matsoukas

Random forests are an ensemble method relevant for many problems, such as regression or classification. They are popular due to their good predictive performance (compared to, e.g., decision trees) requiring only minimal tuning of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein

Multivariate count data are defined as the number of items of different categories issued from sampling within a population, which individuals are grouped into categories. The analysis of multivariate count data is a recurrent and crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-17 Pierre Fernique , Jean-Baptiste Durand , Yann Guédon

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu

The estimation of categorical distributions under marginal constraints summarizing some sample from a population in the most-generalizable way is key for many machine-learning and data-driven approaches. We provide a parameter-agnostic…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-11-17 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

Clustering multivariate data is a pervasive task in many applied problems, particularly in social studies and life science. Model-based approaches to clustering rely on mixture models, where each mixture component corresponds to the kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Laura Ferrini , Federico Castelletti

Given a probability distribution $\mu$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$ represented by data, we study in this paper the generative modeling of the corresponding conditional probability distributions on the level-sets of a collective variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Fatima-Zahrae Akhyar , Wei Zhang , Gabriel Stoltz , Christof Schütte

Observed clusters should be modelled by considering the distribution function to be a random variable that quantifies the degree of excitation of the system's normal modes. A system of canonical coordinates for the space of DFs is…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-08-11 Jun Yan Lau , James Binney

The Poisson-binomial distribution is useful in many applied problems in engineering, actuarial science, and data mining. The Poisson-binomial distribution models the distribution of the sum of independent but not identically distributed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-07 Man Zhang , Yili Hong , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Standard clustering techniques assume a common configuration for all features in a dataset. However, when dealing with multi-view or longitudinal data, the clusters' number, frequencies, and shapes may need to vary across features to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Beatrice Franzolini , Maria De Iorio , Johan Eriksson

Variable selection, also known as feature selection in machine learning, plays an important role in modeling high dimensional data and is key to data-driven scientific discoveries. We consider here the problem of detecting influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-24 Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

We suggest a dependence coefficient between a categorical variable and some general variable taking values in a metric space. We derive important theoretical properties and study the large sample behaviour of our suggested estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Siegfried Hörmann , Daniel Strenger-Galvis

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

We consider a multinomial distribution, where the number of cells increases and the cell-probabilities decreases as the number of observations grows. The probabilities of large deviations of statistics, which has form of a sum of Borel…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Sherzod M. Mirakhmedov

This paper generalizes the traditional statistical concept of prediction intervals for arbitrary probability density functions in high-dimensional feature spaces by introducing significance level distributions, which provides…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2008-09-22 Steffen Kuehn

This paper examines the classical matching distribution arising in the "problem of coincidences". We generalise the classical matching distribution with a preliminary round of allocation where items are correctly matched with some fixed…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-12-24 Ben O'Neill

In reliable decision-making systems based on machine learning, models have to be robust to distributional shifts or provide the uncertainty of their predictions. In node-level problems of graph learning, distributional shifts can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Gleb Bazhenov , Denis Kuznedelev , Andrey Malinin , Artem Babenko , Liudmila Prokhorenkova