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Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

The flow-driven spectral chaos (FSC) is a recently developed method for tracking and quantifying uncertainties in the long-time response of stochastic dynamical systems using the spectral approach. The method uses a novel concept called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Hugo Esquivel , Arun Prakash , Guang Lin

One of the most promising approaches for complex technical systems analysis employs ensemble methods of classification. Ensemble methods enable to build a reliable decision rules for feature space classification in the presence of many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-01-11 Alexei Zhukov , Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Denis Sidorov , Daniil Panasetsky , Aoife Foley

Fabrication process variations are a major source of yield degradation in the nano-scale design of integrated circuits (IC), microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) and photonic circuits. Stochastic spectral methods are a promising technique…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-08 Zheng Zhang , Tsui-Wei Weng , Luca Daniel

We analyze safety problems of complex systems using the methods of mathematical statistics for testing the output variables of a code simulating the operation of the system under consideration when the input variables are uncertain. We have…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal , M. Makai

The semiconductor and IC industry is facing the issue of high energy consumption. In modern days computers and processing systems are designed based on the Turing machine and Von Neumann's architecture. This architecture mainly focused on…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2020-11-11 S. Rahimi Kari

The unit commitment problem (UC) is crucial for the operation and market mechanism of power systems. With the development of modern electricity, the scale of power systems is expanding, and solving the UC problem is also becoming more and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Jiangwei Hou , Qiaozhu Zhai , Yuzhou Zhou , Xiaohong Guan

This paper develops a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach for joint state and parameter estimation that can deal efficiently with abruptly changing parameters which is a common case when tracking maneuvering targets. The approach…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-12 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

The uncertainty in distribution grid planning is driven by the unpredictable spatial and temporal patterns in adopting electric vehicles (EVs) and solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This complexity, stemming from interactions among EVs, PV…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-20 Shiva Poudel , Poorva Sharma , Abhineet Parchure , Daniel Olsen , Sayantan Bhowmik , Tonya Martin , Dylan Locsin , Andrew P. Reiman

Stochastic programming is widely used for energy system design optimization under uncertainty but can exponentially increase the computational complexity with the number of scenarios. Common scenario reduction techniques, like…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Boyung Jürgens , Hagen Seele , Hendrik Schricker , Christiane Reinert , Niklas von der Assen

AC Optimal Power Flow (ACOPF) and Security-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC) are fundamental optimization problems in power system operations. ACOPF serves as the physical backbone of grid simulation and real-time operation, enforcing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Zeeshan Memon , Yijiang Li , Hongwei Jin , Kibaek Kim , Liang Zhao

Stochastic compositional optimization generalizes classic (non-compositional) stochastic optimization to the minimization of compositions of functions. Each composition may introduce an additional expectation. The series of expectations may…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Tianyi Chen , Yuejiao Sun , Wotao Yin

High renewable energy penetration into power distribution systems causes a substantial risk of exceeding voltage security limits, which needs to be accurately assessed and properly managed. However, the existing methods usually rely on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-08 Yuanhai Gao , Xiaoyuan Xu , Zheng Yan , Mohammad Shahidehpour , Bo Yang , Xinping Guan

We provide methods for in-database support of decision making under uncertainty. Many important decision problems correspond to selecting a package (bag of tuples in a relational database) that jointly satisfy a set of constraints while…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Matteo Brucato , Nishant Yadav , Azza Abouzied , Peter J. Haas , Alexandra Meliou

This paper solves a new class of optimization problems under uncertainty, called Probable Event Constrained Optimization (PECO), which optimizes an objective function of decision variables and subjects to a set of Probable Event Constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Qifeng Li

Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

This paper proposes a semidefinite programming based method for estimating moments of a stochastic hybrid system (SHS). For polynomial SHSs -- which consist of polynomial continuous vector fields, reset maps, and transition intensities --…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-02 Khem Raj Ghusinga , Andrew Lamperski , Abhyudai Singh

In this paper, a novel convexification approach for Small-Signal Stability Constraint Optimal Power Flow (SSSC-OPF) has been presented that does not rely on eigenvalue analysis. The proposed methodology is based on the sufficient condition…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-17 Parikshit Pareek , Hung D. Nguyen

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang
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