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This note is devoted to the study of the maximum of the excursion of a random walk with negative drift and light-tailed increments. More precisely, we determine the local asymptotics of the joint distribution of the length, maximum and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential and moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time martingale under norming sequence 1/n, as in the classical Law of Large Numbers (LLN), by means of martingale differences…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We suggest a method for constructing positive harmonic functions for a wide class of transition kernels on $Z^+$. We also find natural conditions under which these functions have positive finite limits at infinity. Further, we apply our…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

Computing the stationary distributions of a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) involves solving a set of linear equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or too large, and the equations cannot be solved…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

A parallel server system with $n$ identical servers is considered. The service time distribution has a finite mean $1/\mu$, but otherwise is arbitrary. Arriving customers are be routed to one of the servers immediately upon arrival.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Sergey Foss , Alexander Stolyar

We consider a tandem queue with coupled processors, which is subject to global breakdowns. When the network is in the operating mode and both queues are non empty, the total service capacity is shared among the stations according to fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Ioannis Dimitriou

We study a general $k$ dimensional infinite server queues process with Markov switching, Poisson arrivals and where the service times are fat tailed with index $\alpha\in (0,1)$. When the arrival rate is sped up by a factor $n^\gamma$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Landy Rabehasaina

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of the steady-state waiting time, W_infty, of the M/G/1 queue with subexponenential processing times for different combinations of traffic intensities and overflow levels. In particular, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-22 Mariana Olvera-Cravioto , Peter W. Glynn

In asymptotic regimes, both in time and space (network size), the derivation of network capacity results is grossly simplified by brushing aside queueing behavior in non-Jackson networks. This simplifying double-limit model, however, lends…

Performance · Computer Science 2013-08-02 Florin Ciucu , Ramin Khalili , Yuming Jiang , Liu Yang , Yong Cui

Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Christian Robert , Jef Teugels

This paper considers a work-conserving FIFO single-server queue with multiple batch Markovian arrival streams governed by a continuous-time finite-state Markov chain. A particular feature of this queue is that service time distributions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama , Tetsuya Takine

In this paper we are concerned with a sample of asymptotically independent risks. Tail asymptotic probabilities for linear combinations of randomly weighted order statistics are approximated under various assumptions, where the individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Alexandru V. Asimit , Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

In this paper, we consider an $N$-queue overloaded polling network attended by a single cyclically roving server. Upon the completion of his service, a customer is either routed to another queue or leaves the system. All the switches are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Zaiming Liu , Yuejiao Wang , Yuqing Chu , Yingqiu Li

Consider a modified, stable, two node Jackson network where server 2 helps server 1 when server 2 is idle. The probability of a large deviation of the number of customers at node one can be calculated using the flat boundary theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Robert D. Foley , David R. McDonald

We compute the stationary in-degree probability, $P_{in}(k)$, for a growing network model with directed edges and arbitrary out-degree probability. In particular, under preferential linking, we find that if the nodes have a light tail…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-10-21 Daniel Fraiman
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