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Matrix differential Riccati equations are central in filtering and optimal control theory. The purpose of this article is to develop a perturbation theory for a class of stochastic matrix Riccati diffusions. Diffusions of this type arise,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral , Angele Niclas

The stability properties of matrix-valued Riccati diffusions are investigated. The matrix-valued Riccati diffusion processes considered in this work are of interest in their own right, as a rather prototypical model of a matrix-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

In this paper, we discover that the trace of the division of the optimal output estimation error covariance over the noise covariance attained by the Kalman-Bucy filter can be explicitly expressed in terms of the plant dynamics and noise…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Song Fang , Hideaki Ishii , Jie Chen , Karl Henrik Johansson

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

We consider the problem of optimal control for partially observed dynamical systems. Despite its prevalence in practical applications, there are still very few algorithms available, which take uncertainties in the current state estimates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Sebastian Reich

In this article we consider the estimation of the log-normalization constant associated to a class of continuous-time filtering models. In particular, we consider ensemble Kalman-Bucy filter based estimates based upon several nonlinear…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-28 Dan Crisan , Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

The exponential stability and the concentration properties of a class of extended Kalman-Bucy filters are analyzed. New estimation concentration inequalities around partially observed signals are derived in terms of the stability properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Pierre Del Moral , Aline Kurtzmann , Julian Tugaut

We provide a continuous time limit analysis for the class of Ensemble Square Root Filter algorithms with deterministic model perturbations. In the particular linear case, we specify general conditions on the model perturbations implying…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

The Kalman(-Bucy) filter is the natural choice for the state reconstruction of disturbed, linear dynamical systems based on flawed and incomplete measurements. Taking a deterministic viewpoint this work investigates possible extensions of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Karl Kunisch , Jesper Schröder

We develop a self contained stochastic perturbation theory for discrete generation and multivariate Ensemble Kalman filters. Unlike their continuous-time counterparts, discrete EnKF algorithms are defined through a two steps prediction…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Pierre Del Moral , Bouchra Nasri , Bruno Rémillard

A generalized Kalman-Bucy model under model uncertainty and a corresponding robust problem are studied in this paper. We find that this robust problem is equivalent to an estimate problem under a sublinear operator. By Girsanov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Shaolin Ji , Chuiliu Kong , Chuanfeng Sun

Stability analysis of the Kalman filter under randomly lost measurements has been widely studied. We revisit this problem in a general continuous-time framework, where both the measurement matrix and noise covariance evolve as random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Xinyi Wang , Devansh R. Agrawal , Dimitra Panagou

Simultaneous state and parameter estimation arises from various applicational areas but presents a major computational challenge. Most available Markov chain or sequential Monte Carlo techniques are applicable to relatively low dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Angwenyi David , Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich

Two recent works have adapted the Kalman-Bucy filter into an ensemble setting. In the first formulation, BR10, the full ensemble is updated in the analysis step as the solution of single set of ODEs in pseudo-BGR09, the ensemble of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Javier Amezcua , Kayo Ide , Eugenia Kalnay , Sebastian Reich

The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation technique in the geosciences. However, little is known theoretically about its long term stability and accuracy. In this paper, we investigate the behavior of an ensemble…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat

The Kalman-Bucy filter is the optimal state estimator for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion given that the system is partially observed via a linear diffusion-type (noisy) sensor. Under Gaussian assumptions, it provides a finite-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

Despite the widespread usage of discrete generation Ensemble Kalman particle filtering methodology to solve nonlinear and high dimensional filtering and inverse problems, little is known about their mathematical foundations. As genetic-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Pierre del Moral , Emma Horton

This paper studies the stability of covariance-intersection (CI)-based distributed Kalman filtering in time-varying systems. For the general time-varying case, a relationship between the error covariance and the observability Gramian is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-09 Zhongyao Hu , Bo Chen , Chao Sun , Li Yu

Contemporary data assimilation often involves millions of prediction variables. The classical Kalman filter is no longer computationally feasible in such a high dimensional context. This problem can often be resolved by exploiting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong
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