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This paper develops valid bootstrap inference methods for the dynamic short panel threshold regression. We show that the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent for the first-differenced generalized method of moments (GMM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Woosik Gong , Myung Hwan Seo

We propose a new framework for the simultaneous inference of monotone and smoothly time-varying functions under complex temporal dynamics. This will be done utilizing the monotone rearrangement and the nonparametric estimation. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Tianpai Luo , Weichi Wu

The maximum likelihood estimator in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects is biased. Several bias correction methods, such as analytical and jackknife approaches, have been proposed to enable valid inference. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-30 Haoyuan Xu , Wei Miao , Geert Dhaene , Jad Beyhum

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

This paper introduces a straightforward sieve-based approach for estimating and conducting inference on regression parameters in panel data models with interactive fixed effects. The method's key assumption is that factor loadings can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Georg Keilbar , Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Weining Wang

This article constructs simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for functional parameters using the Gaussian Kinematic formula of $t$-processes (tGKF). Although the tGKF relies on Gaussianity, we show that a central limit theorem (CLT) for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Fabian J. E. Telschow , Armin Schwartzman

We introduce two data-driven procedures for optimal estimation and inference in nonparametric models using instrumental variables. The first is a data-driven choice of sieve dimension for a popular class of sieve two-stage least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen , Sid Kankanala

This paper develops bootstrap methods to construct uniform confidence bands for nonparametric spectral estimation of L\'{e}vy densities under high-frequency observations. We assume that we observe $n$ discrete observations at frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Kengo Kato , Daisuke Kurisu

We propose a computationally efficient method to construct nonparametric, heteroscedastic prediction bands for uncertainty quantification, with or without any user-specified predictive model. Our approach provides an alternative to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Tengyuan Liang

In this paper we develop procedures to construct simultaneous confidence bands for $\tilde p$ potentially infinite-dimensional parameters after model selection for general moment condition models where $\tilde p$ is potentially much larger…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Ying Wei

This article presents methods for constructing an asymptotic hyperbolic band under the multiple logistic regression model when the predictor variables are restricted to a specific region $\mathscr{X}$. Scheff\'{e}'s method yields…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Lucy Kerns

Uniform asymptotic confidence bands for a multivariate regression function in an inverse regression model with a convolution-type operator are constructed. The results are derived using strong approximation methods and a limit theorem for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Katharina Proksch , Nicolai Bissantz , Holger Dette

A long-standing problem in the construction of asymptotically correct confidence bands for a regression function $m(x)=E[Y|X=x]$, where $Y$ is the response variable influenced by the covariate $X$, involves the situation where $Y$ values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Ali Al-Sharadqah , Majid Mojirsheibani

Sample autocorrelograms typically come with significance bands (non-rejection regions) for the null hypothesis of no temporal correlation. These bands have two shortcomings. First, they build on pointwise intervals and suffer from joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-26 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle , Tanja Zahn

In this paper, we propose a varying coefficient panel data model with unobservable multiple interactive fixed effects that are correlated with the regressors. We approximate each coefficient function by B-spline, and propose a robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-08 Sanying Feng , Gaorong Li , Heng Peng , Tiejun Tong

We develop a novel procedure for constructing confidence bands for components of a sparse additive model. Our procedure is based on a new kernel-sieve hybrid estimator that combines two most popular nonparametric estimation methods in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

A bootstrap procedure for constructing prediction bands for a stationary functional time series is proposed. The procedure exploits a general vector autoregressive representation of the time-reversed series of Fourier coefficients appearing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Efstathios Paparoditis , Han Lin Shang

In this paper, we propose to construct confidence bands by bootstrapping the debiased kernel density estimator (for density estimation) and the debiased local polynomial regression estimator (for regression analysis). The idea of using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-06 Gang Cheng , Yen-Chi Chen

Background and Objective: Uncertainty in non-linear mixed effect models is often assessed using the Fisher information matrix to derive the standard errors of estimation. The bootstrap is an alternative to the asymptotic method, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Sofia Kaisaridi , Moreno Ursino , Emmanuelle Comets