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In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

This article, in a first step, considers two Bayes estimators for the relativity premium of a given Bonus--Malus system. It then develops a linear relativity premium that closes, in the sense of weighted mean square error loss, to such…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Mansoureh Sakizadeh

We show that a compound Poisson distribution holds for scaled exceedances of observables $\phi$ uniquely maximized at a periodic point $\zeta$ in a variety of two-dimensional hyperbolic dynamical systems with singularities $(M,T,\mu)$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Meagan Carney , Matthew Nicol , Hong-Kun Zhang

The claim arrival process to an insurance company is modeled by a compound Poisson process whose intensity and/or jump size distribution changes at an unobservable time with a known distribution. It is in the insurance company's interest to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin for self-similar Gaussian risk processes. Additionally, we obtain the normal approximation of the Parisian ruin time and derive an asymptotic relation between…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-14 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We study the probability of ruin before time $t$ for the family of tempered stable L\'evy insurance risk processes, which includes the spectrally positive inverse Gaussian processes. Numerical approximations of the ruin time distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-08 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller , Dale Roberts

The insurance model when the amount of claims depends on the state of the insured person (healthy, ill, or dead) and claims are connected in a Markov chain is investigated. The signed compound Poisson approximation is applied to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Gabija Liaudanskaitė , Vydas Čekanavičius

We study the problem of minimizing the discounted probability of exponential Parisian ruin, that is, the discounted probability that an insurer's surplus exhibits an excursion below zero in excess of an exponentially distributed clock. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Xiaoqing Liang , Virginia R. Young

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

Arrival processes to service systems often display fluctuations that are larger than anticipated under the Poisson assumption, a phenomenon that is referred to as overdispersion. Motivated by this, we analyze a class of discrete stochastic…

This paper proposes two mixed models to study a consumer's optimal saving in the presence of two types of risk.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-26 Irina Georgescu , Adolfo Cristóbal Campoamor , Ana Maria Lucia Casademunt

This letter gives approximations to an integral appearing in the formula for downlink coverage probability of a typical user in Poisson point process (PPP) based stochastic geometry frameworks of the form $\int_0^\infty \exp\{ - (Ax + B…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-13 Sudarshan Guruacharya , Hina Tabassum , Ekram Hossain

The compound Poisson process and the Dirichlet process are the pillar structures of Renewal theory and Bayesian nonparametric theory, respectively. Both processes have many useful extensions to fulfill the practitioners needs to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-17 Arrigo Coen , Beatriz Godínez-Chaparro

Under mild assumptions the equivalence of the mixed Poisson process with mixing parameter a real-valued random variable to the one with mixing distribution as well as to the mixed Poisson process in the sense of Huang is obtained, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 D. P. Lyberopoulos , N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

We prove a multidimensional Poisson limit theorem in free probability, and define joint free Poisson distributions in a non-commutative probability space. We define (compound) free Poisson process explicitly, similar to the definitions of…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Guimei An , Mingchu Gao

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

We consider the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk model with claim sizes that are mixtures of phase-type and subexponential variables. Exploiting a specific geometric compound representation, we propose control variate techniques to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Hansjörg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Eleni Vatamidou

In this article we consider an aggregate loss model with dependent losses. The losses occurrence process is governed by a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2), a Markov renewal process process that allows for (1) correlated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Emilio Carrizosa , Rosa Elvira Lillo

Extreme values are considered in samples with random size that has a mixed Poisson distribution being generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process. We prove some inequalities providing bounds on the rate of convergence in limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Victor Korolev , Igor Sokolov , Andrey Gorshenin

We give a general framework for approximations to combinatorial assemblies, especially suitable to the situation where the number $k$ of components is specified, in addition to the overall size $n$. This involves a Poisson process, which,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Richard Arratia , Stephen DeSalvo
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