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In this paper, we study two optimisation settings for an insurance company, under the constraint that the terminal surplus at a deterministic and finite time $T$ follows a normal distribution with a given mean and a given variance. In both…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-13 Katia Colaneri , Julia Eisenberg , Benedetta Salterini

This paper explores optimal insurance solutions based on the Lambda-Value-at-Risk ($\Lambda\VaR$). If the expected value premium principle is used, our findings confirm that, similar to the VaR model, a truncated stop-loss indemnity is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Tim J. Boonen , Yuyu Chen , Xia Han , Qiuqi Wang

Stop-loss rules are often studied in the financial literature, but the stop-loss levels are seldom constructed systematically. In many papers, and indeed in practice as well, the level of the stops is too often set arbitrarily. Guided by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-06 Antoine Emil Zambelli

Conformal prediction methodology has recently been extended to the covariate shift setting, where the distribution of covariates differs between training and test data. While existing results ensure that the prediction sets from these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mehrdad Pournaderi , Yu Xiang

This paper is concerned with an optimal reinsurance and investment problem for an insurance firm under the criterion of mean-variance. The driving Brownian motion and the rate in return of the risky asset price dynamic equation cannot be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Shihao Zhu , Jingtao Shi

The purpose of this paper is to discuss empirical risk minimization when the losses are not necessarily bounded and may have a distribution with heavy tails. In such situations, usual empirical averages may fail to provide reliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Christian Brownlees , Emilien Joly , Gábor Lugosi

The optimal objective is a fundamental aspect of reinforcement learning (RL), as it determines how policies are evaluated and optimized. While total return maximization is the ideal objective in RL, discounted return maximization is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Shuyu Yin , Fei Wen , Peilin Liu , Tao Luo

We investigate an optimal prevention and insurance problem in a general risk setting, where a representative agent is exposed to potential losses. The agent adopts a strategy that combines self-protection, aimed at reducing the frequency of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Claudia Ceci , Alessandra Cretarola

This paper studies the optimal dividend for a multi-line insurance group, in which each subsidiary runs a product line and is exposed to some external credit risk. The default contagion is considered such that one default event may increase…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Zhuo Jin , Huafu Liao , Yue Yang , Xiang Yu

We propose a model in which, in exchange to the payment of a fixed transaction cost, an insurance company can choose the retention level as well as the time at which subscribing a perpetual reinsurance contract. The surplus process of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari , Maria-Laura Torrente

Risk capital allocations (RCAs) are an important tool in quantitative risk management, where they are utilized to, e.g., gauge the profitability of distinct business units, determine the price of a new product, and conduct the marginal…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-27 Nawaf Mohammed , Edward Furman , Jianxi Su

In the literature, insurance and reinsurance pricing is typically determined by a premium principle, characterized by a risk measure that reflects the policy seller's risk attitude. Building on the work of Meyers (1980) and Chen et al.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Ziyue Shi , David Landriault , Fangda Liu

This paper investigates risk measures derived from the expected maximum deficit in a continuous-time framework and develops optimal reserve allocation strategies across multiple lines of business. We formalize the expected maximum deficit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Claude Lefevre , Pierre Zuyderhoff

We model the influence of sharing large exogeneous losses to the reinsurance market by a bipartite graph. Using Pareto-tailed claims and multivariate regular variation we obtain asymptotic results for the Value-at-Risk and the Conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-16 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg , Gesine Reinert

In this paper, we study the robust optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer who owns the insider information about the financial market and the insurance market under model uncertainty. Both financial risky asset process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Chao Yu , Yuhan Cheng , Yilun Song

The entropic risk measure is widely used in high-stakes decision-making across economics, management science, finance, and safety-critical control systems because it captures tail risks associated with uncertain losses. However, when data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Utsav Sadana , Erick Delage , Angelos Georghiou

In this article, we present the maximum weighted likelihood estimator (MWLE) for robust estimations of heavy-tail finite mixture models (FMM). This is motivated by the complex distributional phenomena of insurance claim severity data, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Tsz Chai Fung

The subject of tail estimation for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution receives growing attention, motivated by applications for instance in actuarial statistics. The bias of the available estimators of the extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Jan Beirlant , Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andrehette Verster

This paper proposes a scoring-rule-based method for ranking predictive distributions in the Fr\'echet domain that is able to distinguish between different tail indices. The approach is built on normalized order statistics and exploits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

Traditional insurance pricing relies on risk-based principles that ensure actuarial fairness and solvency but do not explicitly account for policyholders' price sensitivity. We formulate insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Sascha Günther , Dimitri Semenovich , Mario V. Wüthrich
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