Related papers: An Optimal Multi-layer Reinsurance Policy under Co…
A regularized risk minimization procedure for regression function estimation is introduced that achieves near optimal accuracy and confidence under general conditions, including heavy-tailed predictor and response variables. The procedure…
Given a finite collection of stochastic alternatives, we study the problem of sequentially allocating a fixed sampling budget to identify the optimal alternative with a high probability, where the optimal alternative is defined as the one…
This paper studies Pareto-optimal reinsurance design in a monopolistic market with multiple primary insurers and a single reinsurer, all with heterogeneous risk preferences. The risk preferences are characterized by a family of risk…
The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…
This paper investigates the form of optimal reinsurance contracts in the case of clusters of losses. The underlying insured risk is represented by a marked Hawkes process, where the intensity of the jumps depends not only on the occurrence…
In this paper, we study an optimal insurance problem for a risk-averse individual who seeks to maximize the rank-dependent expected utility (RDEU) of her terminal wealth, and insurance is priced via a general distortion-deviation premium…
We introduce a method to estimate simultaneously the tail and the threshold parameters of an extreme value regression model. This standard model finds its use in finance to assess the effect of market variables on extreme loss distributions…
Parametric insurance has emerged as a practical way to cover risks that may be difficult to assess. By introducing a parameter that triggers compensation and allows the insurer to determine a payment without estimating the actual loss,…
For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…
This research establishes ESG as a state dependent insurance mechanism against equity crashes by addressing the decoupling of unconditional alpha from tail risk resilience. By validating market stress regimes as distinct economic states…
We consider the optimal risk transfer from an insurance company to a reinsurer. The problem formulation considered in this paper is closely connected to the optimal portfolio problem in finance, with some crucial distinctions. In…
In this article we consider the surplus process of an insurance company within the Cramer-Lundberg framework. We study the optimal reinsurance strategy and dividend distribution of an insurance company under proportional reinsurance, in…
We present a method to find an optimal policy with respect to a reward function for a discounted Markov decision process under general linear temporal logic (LTL) specifications. Previous work has either focused on maximizing a cumulative…
In this paper, we study an optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance and investment problem for an insurer in defaultable market. The insurer can buy reinsurance and invest in the following securities: a bank account, a risky asset with stochastic…
The paper examines how reinsurance can be used to strike a balance between expected profit and VaR/CVaR risk. Conditions making truncated stop loss contracts optimal are derived, and it is argued that those are usually satisfied in…
In this article, we employ a principal-agent model to analyze optimal contract design in a monopolistic reinsurance market under adverse selection with a continuum of insurer types. Instead of using the classical expected utility framework,…
Accurate forecasting of risk is the key to successful risk management techniques. Using the largest stock index futures from twelve European bourses, this paper presents VaR measures based on their unconditional and conditional…
In recent years research on credit risk modelling has mainly focused on default probabilities. Recovery rates are usually modelled independently, quite often they are even assumed constant. Then, however, the structural connection between…
As the developed world replaces Defined Benefit (DB) pension plans with Defined Contribution (DC) plans, there is a need to develop decumulation strategies for DC plan holders. Optimal decumulation can be viewed as a problem in optimal…
Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…