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There are many applications that benefit from computing the exact divergence between 2 discrete probability measures, including machine learning. Unfortunately, in the absence of any assumptions on the structure or independencies within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Loong Kuan Lee , Nico Piatkowski , François Petitjean , Geoffrey I. Webb

In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Large-scale data are often characterized by some degree of inhomogeneity as data are either recorded in different time regimes or taken from multiple sources. We look at regression models and the effect of randomly changing coefficients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

In this manuscript we present exponential inequalities for spatial lattice processes which take values in a separable Hilbert space and satisfy certain dependence conditions. We consider two types of dependence: spatial data under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Johannes T. N. Krebs

The kernel smoothing with large bandwidth values causes oversmoothing or underfitting in general. However, when irrelevant variables are included, the corresponding large bandwidth values are known to have an effect of shrinking them. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Taku Moriyama

For sequentially observed functional data exhibiting multiple change points in the mean function, we establish consistency results for the estimated number and locations of the change points based on the norm of the functional CUSUM process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Gregory Rice , Chi Zhang

We describe large deviations for normalized multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form $\bbS_N^{(\nu)}(t)=N^{-\nu}\sum_{0\leq k_1<...<k_\nu\leq Nt}\xi(k_1)\otimes\cdots\otimes\xi(k_\nu)$, $t\in[0,T]$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Yuri Kifer , Ofer Zeitouni

Inference on common parameters in panel data models with individual-specific fixed effects is a classic example of Neyman and Scott's (1948) incidental parameter problem (IPP). One solution to this IPP is functional differencing (Bonhomme…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-05 Geert Dhaene , Martin Weidner

The Ewens-Pitman model is a probability distribution for random partitions of the set $[n]=\{1,\ldots,n\}$, parameterized by $\alpha\in[0,1)$ and $\theta>-\alpha$, with $\alpha=0$ corresponding to the Ewens model in population genetics. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Bernard Bercu , Stefano Favaro

The functional linear model extends the notion of linear regression to the case where the response and covariates are iid elements of an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. The unknown to be estimated is a Hilbert-Schmidt operator, whose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-22 Tung Pham , Victor Panaretos

Mixture models are widely used in Bayesian statistics and machine learning, in particular in computational biology, natural language processing and many other fields. Variational inference, a technique for approximating intractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier

We propose a method for approximating the large deviation rate function of time-integrated observables of diffusion processes, used in statistical physics to characterize the fluctuations of nonequilibrium systems. The method is based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-15 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette

The focus of this article is on the different behavior of large deviations of random subadditive functionals above the mean versus large deviations below the mean in two random media models. We consider the point-to-point first passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-24 M. Cranston , D. Gauthier , T. S. Mountford

A major family of sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods, called inverse regression, commonly require the distribution of the predictor $X$ to have a linear $E(X|\beta^\mathsf{T}X)$ and a degenerate $\mathrm{var}(X|\beta^\mathsf{T}X)$…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Wei Luo , Yan Guo

This paper shows that large nonparametric classes of conditional multivariate densities can be approximated in the Kullback--Leibler distance by different specifications of finite mixtures of normal regressions in which normal means and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Andriy Norets

In this paper, we give precise rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences of bounded real-valued random variables satisfying weak dependence conditions. One of the main ingredients is a new Fuk-Nagaev…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 J Dedecker , F Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

We propose an estimation approach to analyse correlated functional data which are observed on unequal grids or even sparsely. The model we use is a functional linear mixed model, a functional analogue of the linear mixed model. Estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-10 Jona Cederbaum , Marianne Pouplier , Phil Hoole , Sonja Greven

Kernel survival analysis models estimate individual survival distributions with the help of a kernel function, which measures the similarity between any two data points. Such a kernel function can be learned using deep kernel survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 George H. Chen

Random Fourier Features (RFF) demonstrate wellappreciated performance in kernel approximation for largescale situations but restrict kernels to be stationary and positive definite. And for non-stationary kernels, the corresponding RFF could…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Qin Luo , Kun Fang , Jie Yang , Xiaolin Huang